Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
27.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
21.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vaprus
15 matches
Nõmme United
16 matches
| Vaprus | Statistic | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 28 | Goals For | 40 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.56 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nõmme United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. Nõmme United arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 9 matches, Vaprus have collected 10 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 9:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Valja (4 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), K. Aloe (1 goals), with creative support from M. Lepik (2 assists), K. Aloe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nõmme United sit 6 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 20:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on O. Dacosta (4 goals), E. Ounapuu (3 goals), Z. Beglarishvili (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Beglarishvili (4 assists), H. Jarvelaid (4 assists), K. Matas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 7 times, Nõmme United won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:16 from Vaprus's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.91 goals per game.
Lineups
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Laagri
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Tammeka
Nõmme United
Paide
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
Laagri
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Paide
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
Tammeka
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
Viimsi
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Metta / LU
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
Laagri
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Tammeka
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
Paide
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
Nõmme United
Viimsi
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 43 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 33 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:15 | 15 | 31 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Vaprus
Home
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 7 |
Nõmme United
Away
|
17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11:40 | -29 | 10 |
L
D
L
L
W
|