SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
10.10.2026 16:00

Mladost Lucani vs OFK Beograd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
91.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mladost Lucani Win 77%
Draw 5.4%
OFK Beograd Win 17.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mladost Lucani1.5
OFK Beograd1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
WLDWL
19 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
10
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
11
3.2
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 19 matches
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 18 matches
Mladost Lucani Statistic OFK Beograd
9 Wins 4
8 Draws 4
2 Losses 10
23 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 35
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 7
3.2 Shots On Goal 4
9.2 Total Shots 11.4
3.1 Corners 3
40.6% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mladost Lucani expected to line up in 5-4-1 and OFK Beograd in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward OFK Beograd having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Mladost Lucani arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 16 points compared to OFK Beograd in 10 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring OFK Beograd. OFK Beograd arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Mladost Lucani Analysis

Mladost Lucani approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 16 points after 10 outings. The return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 10:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vasil Tasovski (2 goals), J. Ćirić (1 goals), N. Ćirković (1 goals), with creative support from A. Varjačić (2 assists), J. Ćirić (1 assists), V. Kijevčanin (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

OFK Beograd Analysis

OFK Beograd sit 10 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 13:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Silue (6 goals), S. Peña (2 goals), T. De Barr (1 goals), with creative support from H. Aderoju (3 assists), S. Peña (1 assists), T. De Barr (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Mladost Lucani won 0 times, OFK Beograd won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Mladost Lucani's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Mladost Lucani 5-4-1 / OFK Beograd 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mladost Lucani wins 0, draws 3, OFK Beograd wins 2

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 24:3 21 28
W W W D W
2 10 7 1 2 21:10 11 22
D W W W W
3 9 5 2 2 17:9 8 17
W W D D W
4 10 4 4 2 10:12 -2 16
W L W L W
5 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
D L D W L
6 9 4 2 3 14:10 4 14
W L W L W
7 10 3 5 2 14:15 -1 14
D D D W L
8 10 3 4 3 10:11 -1 13
D D W D L
9 10 3 2 5 12:18 -6 11
L D L L L
10 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
L L D L W
11 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
D L L W L
12 9 2 2 5 6:11 -5 8
L W L D L
13 10 2 2 6 6:17 -11 8
L L D D W
14 10 0 3 7 6:19 -13 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)