ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
10.10.2026 17:00
Teddy Stadium

Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Haifa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hapoel Katamon Win 30.5%
Draw 4.1%
Maccabi Haifa Win 65.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hapoel Katamon1.75
Maccabi Haifa2.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa
WLDWL
19 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.38
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
7
5.4
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hapoel Katamon Hapoel Katamon 8 matches
Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 8 matches
Hapoel Katamon Statistic Maccabi Haifa
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
16 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
5.4 Shots On Goal 5.6
15.8 Total Shots 20.2
4 Corners 4.8
48.8% Ball Possession 58.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Maccabi Haifa's more proactive style and Hapoel Katamon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Maccabi Haifa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 12 points while Hapoel Katamon sit 6 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Maccabi Haifa. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hapoel Katamon expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Maccabi Haifa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Maccabi Haifa having the stronger overall control. Maccabi Haifa look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Hapoel Katamon Analysis

Hapoel Katamon are currently 6 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 12:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Idoko (4 goals), N. Vrasana (4 goals), C. Tiéhi (1 goals), with creative support from A. Idoko (1 assists), C. Tiéhi (1 assists), O. Nadir (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maccabi Haifa Analysis

Maccabi Haifa approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 5 outings. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:7, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Novaković (3 goals), E. Azoulay (2 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), with creative support from Bruninho (2 assists), Pedro Brazão (2 assists), N. Lonwijk (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Katamon won 3 times, Maccabi Haifa won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:25 from Hapoel Katamon's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Hapoel Katamon 3-1-4-2 / Maccabi Haifa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hapoel Katamon wins 3, draws 5, Maccabi Haifa wins 6

Standings

Ligat Al
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 18:6 12 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 12:7 5 12
W W W L W
3 5 3 1 1 11:4 7 10
W L W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
5 5 3 0 2 7:9 -2 9
W W W L L
6 5 2 1 2 12:12 0 7
W D W L L
7 5 1 3 1 7:6 1 6
L W D D D
8 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L L L W W
9 5 1 2 2 6:6 0 5
L L D W D
10 5 1 1 3 3:6 -3 4
W L L L D
11 5 1 0 4 4:9 -5 3
L W L L L
12 5 1 0 4 5:11 -6 3
L L L W L
13 5 1 0 4 2:8 -6 3
L L L W L
14 5 2 1 2 7:8 -1 1
L D W L W
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)