Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
49.7%
|
1.47 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.43 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vancouver Whitecaps
29 matches
St. Louis City
26 matches
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Statistic | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 53 | Goals For | 37 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 6.16 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 17.12 | Total Shots | 13.86 |
| 6.16 | Corners | 5.82 |
| 58.3% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver Whitecaps expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control.
Vancouver Whitecaps arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 40 points after 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 45:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), Thomas Müller (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Quiñonez (3 assists), Brian White (2 assists), Sebastian Berhalter (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
From their first 21 matches, St. Louis City have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 30:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 4 times, St. Louis City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Vancouver Whitecaps's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
Home
|
27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 31 | 50 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 |
St. Louis City
Away
|
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 8 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 0 | 36 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | -9 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|