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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
06.09.2026 02:30
BC Place
Referee: Michael Venne, Canada
Vancouver Whitecaps
Match Timeline
St. Louis City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
E. Sabbi
Vancouver Whitecaps
⚽
23'
S. Becher · Assist: A. Matan
St. Louis City
🟨
26'
Thomas Müller
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
36'
Conrad Wallem
St. Louis City
⚽
41'
T. Totland · Assist: D. Edelman
St. Louis City
⚽
45'
C. Wallem · Assist: T. Totland
St. Louis City
🔄
46'
J. Badwal ↔ O. Larraz
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
R. Elloumi ↔ B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
M. Gherasimencov ↔ C. Sabaly
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
49'
Mathías Laborda
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
50'
Emmanuel Sabbi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
59'
E. Sabbi ↔ R. Gauld
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
62'
C. Holse ↔ Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
🟨
71'
Ryan Gauld
Vancouver Whitecaps
VAR
75'
Brian White
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
80'
S. Becher ↔ S. Jeong
St. Louis City
🔄
82'
A. Cubas ↔ Y. Diaby
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
84'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟨
90+3'
Fallou Fall
St. Louis City
🔄
90+1'
C. Durkin ↔ F. Fall
St. Louis City
🔄
90+1'
T. Totland ↔ D. Downs
St. Louis City

Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.7%
1.47 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.43 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 49.7%
Draw 11.1%
St. Louis City Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver Whitecaps1.68
St. Louis City1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WWDLW
53 GF / 29 GA
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WLDWL
37 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
11
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
13
6.16
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 29 matches
St. Louis City St. Louis City 26 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Statistic St. Louis City
15 Wins 10
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 8
53 Goals For 37
29 Goals Against 38
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
11 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 5
6.16 Shots On Goal 4.5
17.12 Total Shots 13.86
6.16 Corners 5.82
58.3% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors St. Louis City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver Whitecaps expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 40 points after 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 45:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), Thomas Müller (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Quiñonez (3 assists), Brian White (2 assists), Sebastian Berhalter (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

St. Louis City Analysis

From their first 21 matches, St. Louis City have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 30:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (3 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Marcel Hartel (3 assists), Simon Becher (3 assists), Tomas Totland (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 4 times, St. Louis City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Vancouver Whitecaps's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1 / St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Vancouver Whitecaps 6, St. Louis City 5
H2H summary: Vancouver Whitecaps wins 4, draws 2, St. Louis City wins 1

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 5 7 60:29 31 50
L D W L W
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)