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SPAIN › LA LIGA
22.08.2026 17:30
Estadio de Mestalla
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Valencia
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Justin De Haas
Valencia
🟨
39'
Stole Dimitrievski
Valencia
🔄
46'
J. De Haas ↔ M. Diakhaby
Valencia
🟨
57'
Sergio Carreira
Celta Vigo
🔄
57'
R. Sato ↔ U. Sadiq
Valencia
🔄
57'
H. Alvarez ↔ W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🔄
63'
J. El Abdellaoui ↔ J. Rueda
Celta Vigo
🔄
64'
J. Galan ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🔄
64'
F. Jutgla ↔ P. Duran
Celta Vigo
🟨
67'
Javier Rueda
Celta Vigo
🔄
69'
J. Gaya ↔ P. Maffeo
Valencia
🔄
69'
F. Ugrinic ↔ A. Dieng
Valencia
🔄
77'
A. Febas ↔ I. Moriba
Celta Vigo
🟨
80'
Ionuț Radu
Celta Vigo
🔄
83'
A. Danjuma ↔ H. Duro
Valencia

Valencia vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Valencia Win 35.7%
Draw 17.6%
Celta Vigo Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valencia1.25
Celta Vigo1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valencia Valencia
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
2
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valencia Valencia 7 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 matches
Valencia Statistic Celta Vigo
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
9 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 6
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valencia won 7 times, Celta Vigo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Valencia's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
Predicted formations: Valencia 5-4-1 / Celta Vigo 3-4-3
Missing players: Valencia 6, Celta Vigo 2
H2H summary: Valencia wins 7, draws 3, Celta Vigo wins 5

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W D L
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W L
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W L
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
18 6 1 2 3 8:12 -4 5
L L D W D
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
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Relegation