SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio de Mestalla
Referee: A. Cordero
Valencia
Match Timeline
Barcelona
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
R. Araujo ↔ X. Espart
Barcelona
🔄
52'
D. Lopez ↔ L. Ramazani
Valencia
61'
R. Lewandowski · Assist: F. Torres
Barcelona
🔄
62'
D. Olmo ↔ F. de Jong
Barcelona
🔄
62'
E. Garcia ↔ A. Christensen
Barcelona
🟨
63'
César Tárrega
Valencia
🟨
65'
Unai Núñez
Valencia
66'
J. Guerra
Valencia
🟨
70'
Andreas Christensen
Barcelona
71'
L. Rioja
Valencia
VAR
79'
Jesús Vázquez
Valencia
🟨
79'
Marc Bernal
Barcelona
🔄
80'
H. Duro ↔ U. Sadiq
Valencia
🔄
80'
J. Vazquez ↔ T. Rendall
Valencia
🔄
83'
F. Torres ↔ J. Cancelo
Barcelona
🔄
83'
M. Bernal ↔ M. Casado
Barcelona
🔄
90+7'
J. Guerra ↔ A. Almeida
Valencia
90'
G. Rodriguez
Valencia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valencia Win 25.8%
Draw 3.1%
Barcelona Win 71.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valencia1.21
Barcelona2.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valencia Valencia
WWDLW
55 GF / 57 GA
Barcelona Barcelona
WLDWL
135 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
22
BTTS Yes
32
18
Over 2.5
40
3.33
Shots on Goal
6.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valencia Valencia 42 matches
Barcelona Barcelona 54 matches
Valencia Statistic Barcelona
16 Wins 42
10 Draws 3
16 Losses 9
55 Goals For 135
57 Goals Against 58
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
22 BTTS Yes 32
34 Over 1.5 50
18 Over 2.5 40
9 Over 3.5 21
12 Clean Sheets 18
9 Failed To Score 4
3.33 Shots On Goal 6.93
11.62 Total Shots 17.98
4.88 Corners 6.67
48% Ball Possession 67.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Barcelona's more proactive style and Valencia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Barcelona look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valencia expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Barcelona in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Barcelona carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 94 points while Valencia sit 9 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barcelona.

Valencia Analysis

Valencia are currently 9 in the standings with 46 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 43:54 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Duro (10 goals), L. Ramazani (6 goals), D. Lopez (4 goals), with creative support from Javier Guerra (6 assists), L. Rioja (6 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barcelona Analysis

Barcelona approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 94 points after 37 outings. With 31 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 94:33, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by F. Torres (16 goals), Lamine Yamal (16 goals), R. Lewandowski (13 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (11 assists), F. Lopez (9 assists), Pedri (9 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valencia won 2 times, Barcelona won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:45 from Valencia's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Valencia 4-4-2 / Barcelona 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Valencia 7, Barcelona 3
H2H summary: Valencia wins 2, draws 2, Barcelona wins 11
Stats
Valencia Valencia
Barcelona Barcelona
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
24% Ball Possession 76%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
202 Total passes 685
149 Passes accurate 620
1.48 expected_goals 1.52
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Valencia
Formation
Barcelona
S. Dimitrievski
S. Dimitrievski
U. Nunez
U. Nunez
C. Tarrega
C. Tarrega
Pepelu
Pepelu
J. Vazquez
J. Vazquez
L. Rioja
L. Rioja
F. Ugrinic
F. Ugrinic
G. Rodriguez
G. Rodriguez
D. Lopez
D. Lopez
J. Guerra
J. Guerra
H. Duro
H. Duro
W. Szczesny
W. Szczesny
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
R. Araujo
R. Araujo
G. Martin
G. Martin
A. Balde
A. Balde
M. Bernal
M. Bernal
Gavi
Gavi
F. Torres
🎯
F. Torres
D. Olmo
D. Olmo
M. Rashford
M. Rashford
R. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
Valencia 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
4
U. Nunez
🟨 65'
D
5
C. Tarrega
🟨 63'
D
18
Pepelu
D
21
J. Vazquez
↓ 80'
D
11
L. Rioja
⚽ 71'
M
23
F. Ugrinic
M
2
G. Rodriguez
⚽ 90'
M
16
D. Lopez
↓ 52'
M
8
J. Guerra
⚽ 66' ↓ 90+7'
F
9
H. Duro
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
25
J. Agirrezabala
G
22
B. Santamaria
M
6
U. Sadiq
↑ 80'
F
7
A. Danjuma
F
12
T. Rendall
↑ 80'
D
19
D. Raba
F
29
L. Nunez
M
17
L. Ramazani
↑ 52'
F
10
A. Almeida
↑ 90+7'
M
26
Rubo
D
27
D. Otorbi
F
44
R. Munoz de Morales
D
Barcelona 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
W. Szczesny
G
24
E. Garcia
↓ 62'
D
4
R. Araujo
↓ 46'
D
18
G. Martin
D
3
A. Balde
D
22
M. Bernal
↓ 83' 🟨 79'
M
6
Gavi
M
7
F. Torres
🎯 61' ↓ 83'
M
20
D. Olmo
↓ 62'
M
14
M. Rashford
M
9
R. Lewandowski
⚽ 61'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Garcia
G
31
D. Kochen
G
21
F. de Jong
↑ 62'
M
8
Pedri
M
19
R. Bardghji
F
36
A. Cortes
D
2
J. Cancelo
↑ 83'
D
15
A. Christensen
↑ 62' 🟨 70'
D
17
M. Casado
↑ 83'
M
5
P. Cubarsi
D
43
T. Marques
M
42
X. Espart
↑ 46'
D
Last matches: Valencia
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
08.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
2
L
01.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
2
L
24.01.26
La
Valencia
Espanyol
3
2
W
18.01.26
La
Valencia
Getafe
1
0
W
15.01.26
Cop
Valencia
Burgos
2
0
W
Last matches: Barcelona
17.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Betis
3
1
W
13.05.26
La
Barcelona
Alaves
0
1
L
10.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
0
W
02.05.26
La
Barcelona
Osasuna
2
1
W
25.04.26
La
Barcelona
Getafe
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
14.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
11.04.26
La
Barcelona
Espanyol
4
1
W
08.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
04.04.26
La
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
22.03.26
La
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
7
2
W
15.03.26
La
Barcelona
Sevilla
5
2
W
10.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
1
1
D
07.03.26
La
Barcelona
Athletic Club
1
0
W
03.03.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
0
W
28.02.26
La
Barcelona
Villarreal
4
1
W
22.02.26
La
Barcelona
Levante
3
0
W
16.02.26
La
Barcelona
Girona
1
2
L
12.02.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
4
L
H2H: Valencia vs Barcelona
23.05.26
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
14.09.25
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
6
0
L
06.02.25
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
0
5
L
26.01.25
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
7
1
L
17.08.24
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
2
L
29.04.24
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
4
2
L
16.12.23
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
1
D
05.03.23
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
1
0
L
29.10.22
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
0
1
L
20.02.22
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
4
L
17.10.21
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
3
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
2
3
L
19.12.20
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
2
2
D
25.01.20
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
2
0
W
14.09.19
H2H
Barcelona
Valencia
5
2
L
Last matches: Valencia
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
01.03.26
La
Valencia
Osasuna
1
0
W
08.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
2
L
24.01.26
La
Valencia
Espanyol
3
2
W
10.01.26
La
Valencia
Elche
1
1
D
19.12.25
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
07.12.25
La
Valencia
Sevilla
1
1
D
21.11.25
La
Valencia
Levante
1
0
W
09.11.25
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
1
D
25.10.25
La
Valencia
Villarreal
0
2
L
30.09.25
La
Valencia
Oviedo
1
2
L
20.09.25
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
2
0
W
29.08.25
La
Valencia
Getafe
3
0
W
16.08.25
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
H2H at home: Valencia
23.05.26
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
06.02.25
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
0
5
L
17.08.24
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
2
L
16.12.23
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
0
1
L
20.02.22
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
4
L
02.05.21
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
2
3
L
25.01.20
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
2
0
W
Last matches: Barcelona
13.05.26
La
Barcelona
Alaves
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Barcelona
Osasuna
2
1
W
25.04.26
La
Barcelona
Getafe
2
0
W
14.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.26
La
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
10.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
1
1
D
07.03.26
La
Barcelona
Athletic Club
1
0
W
16.02.26
La
Barcelona
Girona
1
2
L
12.02.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
4
L
03.02.26
Cop
Barcelona
Albacete
2
1
W
31.01.26
La
Barcelona
Elche
3
1
W
21.01.26
UEF
Barcelona
Slavia Praha
4
2
W
18.01.26
La
Barcelona
Real Sociedad
1
2
L
15.01.26
Cop
Barcelona
Racing Santander
2
0
W
03.01.26
La
Barcelona
Espanyol
2
0
W
21.12.25
La
Barcelona
Villarreal
2
0
W
16.12.25
Cop
Barcelona
Guadalajara
2
0
W
06.12.25
La
Barcelona
Real Betis
5
3
W
25.11.25
UEF
Barcelona
Chelsea
0
3
L
09.11.25
La
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
2
W
H2H away: Barcelona
23.05.26
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
L
06.02.25
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
0
5
W
17.08.24
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
2
W
16.12.23
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
0
1
W
20.02.22
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
1
4
W
02.05.21
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
2
3
W
25.01.20
H2H
Valencia
Barcelona
2
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Valencia 7 missing
-
J. Copete
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Diakhaby
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Foulquier
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Gaya
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Renzo Saravia
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
E. Comert
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
L. Beltran
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Barcelona 3 missing
-
J. Kounde
Missing Fixture Health problems
OUT
-
Unknown Player
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
Lamine Yamal
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT