CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Municipal de Collao
Referee: Diego Flores Seguel, Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
Match Timeline
Union La Calera
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Osvaldo González
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
45+2'
Jeison Fuentealba
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
55'
Jorge Espejo
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
56'
Daniel Gutiérrez
Union La Calera
🔄
65'
D. Sabando ↔ L. Rojas
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
65'
Y. Leiva ↔ J. Soto
Union La Calera
🔄
65'
B. Oyarzo Munoz ↔ C. Villanueva
Union La Calera
🔄
72'
A. Uribe ↔ C. Zambrano
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
72'
B. Ogaz ↔ P. Parra
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
83'
M. Campos ↔ F. Pozzo
Union La Calera
🔄
84'
A. Urzi ↔ C. Mesias
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
84'
J. Espejo ↔ L. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
87'
Kevin Méndez
Union La Calera

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Concepcion Win 87.1%
Draw 0%
Union La Calera Win 13%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Concepcion1.2
Union La Calera1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WWDLW
12 GF / 21 GA
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
9
4.08
Shots on Goal
3.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 13 matches
Union La Calera Union La Calera 13 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Statistic Union La Calera
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 7
12 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 21
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
4.08 Shots On Goal 3.46
12.69 Total Shots 10.85
5.15 Corners 5.54
47.8% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Universidad de Concepcion arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 17 points compared to Union La Calera in 15 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Union La Calera. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Concepcion expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Union La Calera in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union La Calera having the stronger overall control.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

Universidad de Concepcion sit 11 with 17 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 10:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Waterman (2 goals), A. Diaz (1 goals), Agustín Urzi (1 goals), with creative support from C. Waterman (1 assists), A. Diaz (1 assists), Agustín Urzi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union La Calera Analysis

With 10 points from 12 games and a place of 15, Union La Calera still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Saez (7 goals), K. Mendez (3 goals), R. Caseres (2 goals), with creative support from K. Mendez (5 assists), S. Saez (1 assists), C. Diaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Concepcion won 4 times, Union La Calera won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Universidad de Concepcion's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Concepcion 4-3-3 / Union La Calera 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universidad de Concepcion wins 4, draws 1, Union La Calera wins 1
Stats
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera Union La Calera
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
484 Total passes 316
397 Passes accurate 227
1.67 expected_goals 0.16
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Universidad de Concepcion
Formation
Union La Calera
J. Sanhueza
J. Sanhueza
J. Espejo
J. Espejo
O. Gonzalez
O. Gonzalez
D. Retamal
D. Retamal
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
F. Mater
F. Mater
B. Ogaz
B. Ogaz
A. Urzi
A. Urzi
J. Fuentealba
J. Fuentealba
A. Uribe
A. Uribe
D. Sabando
D. Sabando
N. Avellaneda
N. Avellaneda
C. Diaz
C. Diaz
J. Requena
J. Requena
N. Palma
N. Palma
D. Gutierrez
D. Gutierrez
K. Mendez
K. Mendez
Y. W. Andia Leon
Y. W. Andia Leon
Y. Leiva
Y. Leiva
B. Oyarzo Munoz
B. Oyarzo Munoz
S. Saez
S. Saez
M. Campos
M. Campos
Universidad de Concepcion 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
J. Sanhueza
G
21
J. Espejo
↓ 84' 🟨 55'
D
4
O. Gonzalez
🟨 40'
D
5
D. Retamal
D
15
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
D
8
F. Mater
M
16
B. Ogaz
↓ 72'
M
7
A. Urzi
↓ 84'
M
10
J. Fuentealba
🟨 45+2'
M
22
A. Uribe
↓ 72'
M
29
D. Sabando
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Matamala
G
6
B. Ubal
27
C. Zambrano
↑ 72'
M
14
P. Parra
↑ 72'
M
19
C. Mesias
↑ 84'
D
20
L. Rojas
↑ 65'
M
3
L. Gonzalez
↑ 84'
D
25
H. Salgado
23
P. Romero
D
Union La Calera 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
N. Avellaneda
G
25
C. Diaz
24
J. Requena
D
3
N. Palma
D
27
D. Gutierrez
🟨 56'
D
10
K. Mendez
🟨 87'
M
2
Y. W. Andia Leon
M
8
Y. Leiva
↓ 65'
M
7
B. Oyarzo Munoz
↓ 65'
M
11
S. Saez
F
19
M. Campos
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Espinoza
G
20
J. Cruz
M
18
A. Encinas
9
F. Pozzo
↑ 83'
F
29
J. Soto
↑ 65'
4
C. Gutierrez
D
14
C. Villanueva
↑ 65'
M
26
M. Maturana
D
30
M. Fernandez
F
Last matches: Universidad de Concepcion
05.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
01.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
4
L
20.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
1
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
U. Catolica
1
5
L
23.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Colo Colo
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
1
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
1
5
L
15.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
1
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
Last matches: Union La Calera
04.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
02.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
4
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
3
3
D
21.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Huachipato
1
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Concepción
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
3
3
D
06.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
0
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
1
W
02.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
H2H: Universidad de Concepcion vs Union La Calera
30.05.26
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
11.01.21
H2H
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
W
08.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
2
1
W
21.12.19
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
29.03.19
H2H
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
3
1
L
01.09.18
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
2
1
W
13.04.18
H2H
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
1
3
W
Last matches: Universidad de Concepcion
05.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
01.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Colo Colo
1
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
H2H at home: Universidad de Concepcion
30.05.26
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
08.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
2
1
W
21.12.19
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
01.09.18
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
2
1
W
Last matches: Union La Calera
04.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
02.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Huachipato
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
0
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
0
1
L
02.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
H2H away: Union La Calera
30.05.26
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
08.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
2
1
L
21.12.19
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
01.09.18
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
2
1
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso