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12.10.2026 20:00
Wanderers Grounds

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
HFX Wanderers FC Win 32.3%
Draw 14.2%
Cavalry FC Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
HFX Wanderers FC1.18
Cavalry FC1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WWDLW
38 GF / 42 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
51 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
2.64
Shots on Goal
2.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 26 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 25 matches
HFX Wanderers FC Statistic Cavalry FC
7 Wins 16
7 Draws 5
12 Losses 4
38 Goals For 51
42 Goals Against 19
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
16 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 3
2.64 Shots On Goal 2.96
6.88 Total Shots 8.36
2.52 Corners 3.24
31.4% Ball Possession 29%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cavalry FC's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cavalry FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 53 points while HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HFX Wanderers FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cavalry FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cavalry FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cavalry FC. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

So far, HFX Wanderers FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 27 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 38:42 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Johnston (4 goals), J. Bahamboula (2 goals), L. Callegari (1 goals), with creative support from L. Callegari (3 assists), N. Pierre (1 assists), T. Meilleur-Giguère (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 53 points after 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 51:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Musse (3 goals), A. Didic (2 goals), T. Warschewski (2 goals), with creative support from A. Musse (2 assists), A. Didic (2 assists), E. Kobza (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers FC won 2 times, Cavalry FC won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from HFX Wanderers FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3 / Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HFX Wanderers FC wins 2, draws 6, Cavalry FC wins 7

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 24 8 4 12 36:44 -8 28
W L W L L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 24 6 9 9 39:54 -15 27
W L D L W
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D