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CHILE › PRIMERA B
12.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Tierra de Campeones

Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportes Iquique Win 43.5%
Draw 22.6%
Union Espanola Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Iquique1.4
Union Espanola1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
WWDLW
50 GF / 42 GA
Union Espanola Union Espanola
WLDWL
36 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
20
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 35 matches
Union Espanola Union Espanola 33 matches
Deportes Iquique Statistic Union Espanola
10 Wins 11
14 Draws 8
11 Losses 14
50 Goals For 36
42 Goals Against 45
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
20 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Deportes Iquique's more proactive style and Union Espanola's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Espanola having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union Espanola.

Deportes Iquique Analysis

Deportes Iquique sit 12 with 31 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 35:30 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Union Espanola Analysis

Union Espanola sit 9 with 36 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 32:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Iquique won 2 times, Union Espanola won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Deportes Iquique's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.5%)
H2H summary: Deportes Iquique wins 2, draws 3, Union Espanola wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W