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10.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
Referee: Piero Maza, Chile
Universidad de Chile
Match Timeline
Palestino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
A. Arce · Assist: L. Assadi
Universidad de Chile
⚽
26'
Eduardo Vargas · Assist: C. Aranguiz
Universidad de Chile
🟨
41'
Enzo Roco
Palestino
🔄
53'
B. Carrasco ↔ J. Abrigo
Palestino
🔄
53'
I. A. Garguez Gomez ↔ J. Benitez
Palestino
🔄
53'
N. Meza ↔ D. Glaby
Palestino
🔄
66'
L. Assadi ↔ J. Altamirano
Universidad de Chile
🔄
72'
M. Eggel ↔ R. Fernandez
Palestino
🟨
75'
Dylan Glaby
Palestino
VAR
77'
Ronnie Fernández
Palestino
⚽
78'
N. Da Silva
Palestino
🔄
83'
C. Aranguiz ↔ B. Tamayo
Universidad de Chile
🔄
84'
S. Gallegos ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
88'
M. G. Guerrero Pena ↔ M. Diaz
Universidad de Chile
🔄
88'
A. Arce ↔ J. Lucero
Universidad de Chile

Universidad de Chile vs Palestino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Chile Win 59.4%
Draw 9.3%
Palestino Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile1.42
Palestino1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WWDLW
34 GF / 21 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
37 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.61
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
9
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
14
4.59
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 24 matches
Palestino Palestino 23 matches
Universidad de Chile Statistic Palestino
12 Wins 11
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 8
34 Goals For 37
21 Goals Against 33
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
9 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 6
4.59 Shots On Goal 4.59
13.53 Total Shots 14.18
6 Corners 4.24
56.4% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Chile expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Palestino in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Palestino. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Universidad de Chile approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 27 points after 16 outings. The return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 19:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Eduardo Vargas (5 goals), Agustín Arce (2 goals), Fabián Hormazábal (1 goals), with creative support from Lucas Assadi (3 assists), Eduardo Vargas (1 assists), Fabián Hormazábal (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Palestino Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 27 points from 17 games, Palestino bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:24, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Nelson Da Silva (3 goals), César Munder (2 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Nicolás Meza (2 assists), Bryan Carrasco (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile won 6 times, Palestino won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Universidad de Chile's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Chile 4-1-4-1 / Palestino 4-3-3
H2H summary: Universidad de Chile wins 6, draws 4, Palestino wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 3 4 50:27 23 54
L D D W W
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 24 11 6 7 40:27 13 39
W W L W W
5 24 11 4 9 38:35 3 37
D L W L W
6 24 10 4 10 45:37 8 34
D L W W L
7 23 9 5 9 36:33 3 32
W L L L W
8 24 9 5 10 26:27 -1 32
D D L W D
9 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
10 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W W D L
11 24 7 9 8 36:41 -5 30
L L W W D
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 24 4 6 14 20:41 -21 18
D W L L D