ECUADOR › LIGA PRO

06.07.2026 21:30

Universidad Catolica

2 - 3

Mushuc Runa SC

Olimpico Atahualpa

Referee: Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador

Universidad Catolica

Match Timeline

Mushuc Runa SC

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	82.2%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Universidad Catolica Win 82.2%

Draw 6%

Mushuc Runa SC Win 11.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Universidad Catolica1.5

Mushuc Runa SC1.16

Recent Form (Last 5)

Universidad Catolica

WWDLW

31 GF / 21 GA

Mushuc Runa SC

WLDWL

19 GF / 21 GA

Key Stats

1.63

Average Goals Scored

1.19

1.11

Average Goals Conceded

1.31

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.5

Shots on Goal

3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad Catolica 19 matches

Mushuc Runa SC 16 matches

Universidad Catolica	Statistic	Mushuc Runa SC
8	Wins	4
5	Draws	6
6	Losses	6
31	Goals For	19
21	Goals Against	21
1.63	Avg Goals Scored	1.19
1.11	Avg Goals Conceded	1.31
10	BTTS Yes	9
14	Over 1.5	10
9	Over 2.5	8
6	Over 3.5	7
7	Clean Sheets	6
3	Failed To Score	4
4.5	Shots On Goal	3.56
13.06	Total Shots	12.25
4.72	Corners	4.5
57.3%	Ball Possession	47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 7 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94%)

Predicted formations: Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2

H2H summary: Universidad Catolica wins 7, draws 5, Mushuc Runa SC wins 3

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74	W W L D W
2	Universidad Catolica Home	30	14	9	7	51:27	24	51	W W D D W
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	8	51	W L W W L
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	5	50	D D D W W
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	7	46	D W D L W
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44	D D W L W
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	L W D L W
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	L D W L L
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	W L L W W
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	L W D W L
11	Mushuc Runa SC Away	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	L D D W D
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	D L W L D
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	L W L L L
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	W L L W L
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	D L W L L
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	D L L W L

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