BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Joseph Marien
Referee: L. Visser
Union St. Gilloise
Match Timeline
Anderlecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Marco Kana
Anderlecht
18'
M. Biondic · Assist: B. Zeneli
Union St. Gilloise
21'
K. Rodriguez · Assist: B. Zeneli
Union St. Gilloise
32'
A. Ait El Hadj · Assist: K. Rodriguez
Union St. Gilloise
42'
A. Khalaili · Assist: A. Zorgane
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
46'
N. Saliba ↔ M. Rits
Anderlecht
🟥
47'
Thorgan Hazard
Anderlecht
🔄
55'
D. Sikan ↔ Y. Verschaeren
Anderlecht
🔄
55'
N. De Cat ↔ A. de Ridder
Anderlecht
59'
R. Sykes · Assist: B. Zeneli
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
61'
Alexander De Ridder
Anderlecht
🔄
64'
K. Mac Allister ↔ F. Leysen
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
64'
K. Rodriguez ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
64'
A. Zorgane ↔ I. Pavlic
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
65'
A. Bertaccini ↔ I. Kanate
Anderlecht
🔄
72'
A. Khalaili ↔ G. Francois
Union St. Gilloise
75'
I. Kanate · Assist: Y. Verschaeren
Anderlecht
🔄
77'
Guilherme Smith ↔ O. Niang
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
78'
Fedde Leysen
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
89'
Christian Burgess
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
89'
M. Kana ↔ A. Mujangi Bia
Anderlecht

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union St. Gilloise Win 83.6%
Draw 0%
Anderlecht Win 16.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union St. Gilloise1.44
Anderlecht1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WWDLW
69 GF / 43 GA
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WLDWL
65 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
20
BTTS Yes
25
20
Over 2.5
22
5.26
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 47 matches
Anderlecht Anderlecht 45 matches
Union St. Gilloise Statistic Anderlecht
27 Wins 17
11 Draws 12
9 Losses 16
69 Goals For 65
43 Goals Against 63
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
20 BTTS Yes 25
33 Over 1.5 34
20 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 17
21 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 11
5.26 Shots On Goal 4.78
14.47 Total Shots 13.82
5.36 Corners 5.44
48.9% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union St. Gilloise expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Anderlecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Anderlecht having the stronger overall control. Union St. Gilloise arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 66 points compared to Anderlecht in 6 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Anderlecht arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Anderlecht.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Union St. Gilloise arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 66 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 50:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Rodriguez (9 goals), P. David (9 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Khalaili (5 assists), A. Ait El Hadj (5 assists), A. Zorgane (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Anderlecht Analysis

Anderlecht sit 6 with 44 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 43:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (9 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 10 times, Anderlecht won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from Union St. Gilloise's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1 / Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Union St. Gilloise wins 10, draws 3, Anderlecht wins 2
Stats
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
535 Total passes 270
481 Passes accurate 205
2.40 expected_goals 0.87
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
Formation
Anderlecht
K. Scherpen
K. Scherpen
K. Mac Allister
K. Mac Allister
C. Burgess
C. Burgess
R. Sykes
R. Sykes
A. Khalaili
A. Khalaili
B. Zeneli
🎯
B. Zeneli
A. Ait El Hadj
A. Ait El Hadj
A. Zorgane
🎯
A. Zorgane
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith
K. Rodriguez
🎯
K. Rodriguez
M. Biondic
M. Biondic
J. Heekeren
J. Heekeren
K. Sardella
K. Sardella
L. Hey
L. Hey
M. Kana
M. Kana
M. Angely
M. Angely
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
N. De Cat
N. De Cat
A. Bertaccini
A. Bertaccini
T. Hazard
T. Hazard
T. Degreef
T. Degreef
D. Sikan
D. Sikan
Union St. Gilloise 3-5-2
Starting XI
37
K. Scherpen
G
5
K. Mac Allister
↓ 64'
D
16
C. Burgess
🟨 89'
D
26
R. Sykes
⚽ 59'
D
25
A. Khalaili
⚽ 42' ↓ 72'
M
23
B. Zeneli
🎯 18' 🎯 21' 🎯 59'
M
10
A. Ait El Hadj
⚽ 32'
M
8
A. Zorgane
🎯 42' ↓ 64'
M
11
Guilherme Smith
↓ 77'
M
13
K. Rodriguez
⚽ 21' 🎯 32' ↓ 64'
F
9
M. Biondic
⚽ 18'
Substitutes
1
V. Chambaere
G
19
G. Francois
↑ 72'
D
48
F. Leysen
↑ 64' 🟨 78'
D
30
R. Florucz
F
7
M. Fuseini
↑ 64'
F
29
M. Sylla
D
22
O. Niang
↑ 77'
M
27
L. Patris
D
14
I. Pavlic
↑ 64'
M
Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
32
J. Heekeren
G
54
K. Sardella
D
3
L. Hey
D
55
M. Kana
↓ 89' 🟨 16'
D
4
M. Angely
D
13
N. Saliba
↓ 46'
M
74
N. De Cat
↓ 55'
M
91
A. Bertaccini
↓ 65'
M
11
T. Hazard
🟥 47'
M
83
T. Degreef
M
14
D. Sikan
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
73
J. Imbrechts
G
10
Y. Verschaeren
🎯 75' ↑ 55'
M
77
C. da Costa
F
64
A. de Ridder
↑ 55'
23
M. Rits
↑ 46'
M
15
M. Ilic
D
99
I. Kanate
⚽ 75' ↑ 65'
M
78
A. Tajaouart
M
40
A. Mujangi Bia
↑ 89'
M
Last matches: Union St. Gilloise
21.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
17.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
0
5
L
10.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
02.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
1
2
L
26.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
3
1
W
22.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
19.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
04.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
1
0
W
22.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
3
1
W
14.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
2
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
2
1
W
01.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KVC Westerlo
0
0
D
21.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
2
1
W
14.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Standard Liege
1
1
D
08.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
01.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
1
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
1
0
W
24.01.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
OH Leuven
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Bayern München
0
2
L
Last matches: Anderlecht
21.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
3
1
W
17.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
2
D
10.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
1
1
D
03.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
1
3
L
26.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
L
23.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
12.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
3
1
W
06.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
4
L
22.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Cercle Brugge
2
3
L
15.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
28.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
OH Leuven
5
1
W
22.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
4
2
W
15.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
0
0
D
08.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Genk
0
2
L
01.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Standard Liege
0
2
L
25.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Dender
0
0
D
18.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
2
4
L
07.01.26
Fri
Anderlecht
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
H2H: Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht
24.05.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
5
1
W
14.05.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
3
1
W
26.04.26
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
W
30.11.25
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
0
L
31.08.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
W
10.05.25
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
0
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
W
23.02.25
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
W
01.09.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
0
0
D
14.04.24
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
2
1
L
28.01.24
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
2
2
D
25.01.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
1
W
28.07.23
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
W
08.01.23
H2H
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
1
3
W
Last matches: Union St. Gilloise
10.05.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
3
0
W
22.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
0
0
D
19.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
04.04.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
1
0
W
14.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Dender
2
0
W
07.03.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
2
1
W
21.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
2
1
W
08.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
RAAL La Louvière
2
1
W
01.02.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
1
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
1
0
W
17.01.26
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
20.12.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
2
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Marseille
2
3
L
06.12.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Gent
1
1
D
22.11.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge
2
0
W
26.10.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
St. Truiden
2
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Inter
0
4
L
18.10.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
Charleroi
3
1
W
01.10.25
UEF
Union St. Gilloise
Newcastle
0
4
L
27.09.25
Jup
Union St. Gilloise
KVC Westerlo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Union St. Gilloise
24.05.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
5
1
W
14.05.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
3
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
W
01.09.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
0
0
D
25.01.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
1
W
28.07.23
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
W
Last matches: Anderlecht
10.05.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
1
1
D
23.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
0
2
L
18.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
2
1
W
06.04.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
4
L
15.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
0
1
L
08.03.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Club Brugge KV
2
2
D
22.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
4
2
W
08.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Genk
0
2
L
01.02.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Standard Liege
0
2
L
18.01.26
Jup
Anderlecht
Gent
2
4
L
07.01.26
Fri
Anderlecht
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
21.12.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Antwerp
2
2
D
07.12.25
Jup
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
0
4
L
23.11.25
Jup
Anderlecht
RAAL La Louvière
1
0
W
24.10.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Charleroi
0
1
L
19.10.25
Jup
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
2
2
D
26.09.25
Jup
Anderlecht
OH Leuven
1
1
D
31.08.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Union St. Gilloise
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Anderlecht
AEK Athens FC
0
2
L
17.08.25
Jup
Anderlecht
Dender
2
0
W
H2H away: Anderlecht
24.05.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
5
1
L
14.05.26
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
3
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
0
0
D
25.01.24
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
1
L
28.07.23
H2H
Union St. Gilloise
Anderlecht
2
0
L

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs