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24.05.2026 16:30
Stade Joseph Marien
Referee: L. Visser
Union St. Gilloise
Match Timeline
Anderlecht
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Marco Kana
Anderlecht
⚽
18'
M. Biondic · Assist: B. Zeneli
Union St. Gilloise
⚽
21'
K. Rodriguez · Assist: B. Zeneli
Union St. Gilloise
⚽
32'
A. Ait El Hadj · Assist: K. Rodriguez
Union St. Gilloise
⚽
42'
A. Khalaili · Assist: A. Zorgane
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
46'
N. Saliba ↔ M. Rits
Anderlecht
🟥
47'
Thorgan Hazard
Anderlecht
🔄
55'
D. Sikan ↔ Y. Verschaeren
Anderlecht
🔄
55'
N. De Cat ↔ A. de Ridder
Anderlecht
⚽
59'
R. Sykes · Assist: B. Zeneli
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
61'
Alexander De Ridder
Anderlecht
🔄
64'
K. Mac Allister ↔ F. Leysen
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
64'
K. Rodriguez ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
64'
A. Zorgane ↔ I. Pavlic
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
65'
A. Bertaccini ↔ I. Kanate
Anderlecht
🔄
72'
A. Khalaili ↔ G. Francois
Union St. Gilloise
⚽
75'
I. Kanate · Assist: Y. Verschaeren
Anderlecht
🔄
77'
Guilherme Smith ↔ O. Niang
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
78'
Fedde Leysen
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
89'
Christian Burgess
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
89'
M. Kana ↔ A. Mujangi Bia
Anderlecht

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union St. Gilloise Win 83.6%
Draw 0%
Anderlecht Win 16.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union St. Gilloise1.44
Anderlecht1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WWDLW
69 GF / 43 GA
Anderlecht Anderlecht
WLDWL
65 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
20
BTTS Yes
25
20
Over 2.5
22
5.26
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 47 matches
Anderlecht Anderlecht 45 matches
Union St. Gilloise Statistic Anderlecht
27 Wins 17
11 Draws 12
9 Losses 16
69 Goals For 65
43 Goals Against 63
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
20 BTTS Yes 25
33 Over 1.5 34
20 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 17
21 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 11
5.26 Shots On Goal 4.78
14.47 Total Shots 13.82
5.36 Corners 5.44
48.9% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union St. Gilloise expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Anderlecht in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Anderlecht having the stronger overall control. Union St. Gilloise arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 66 points compared to Anderlecht in 6 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Anderlecht arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Anderlecht.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Union St. Gilloise arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 66 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 50:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Rodriguez (9 goals), P. David (9 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Khalaili (5 assists), A. Ait El Hadj (5 assists), A. Zorgane (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Anderlecht Analysis

Anderlecht sit 6 with 44 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 43:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Hazard (13 goals), M. Cvetkovic (9 goals), N. Angulo (6 goals), with creative support from T. Hazard (7 assists), N. Angulo (5 assists), N. De Cat (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 10 times, Anderlecht won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from Union St. Gilloise's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1 / Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Union St. Gilloise wins 10, draws 3, Anderlecht wins 2

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs