Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
73.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Espanola
25 matches
San Marcos de Arica
25 matches
| Union Espanola | Statistic | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 30 | Goals For | 25 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Union Espanola's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Marcos de Arica. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 18 matches, Union Espanola have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 30 points after 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 23:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Union Espanola won 1 times, San Marcos de Arica won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Union Espanola's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Lineups
Union Espanola
Cobreloa
Union Espanola
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
Antofagasta
Union Espanola
Magallanes
Union Espanola
Recoleta
Union Espanola
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
Santiago Wanderers
Union Espanola
Deportes Copiapo
Union Espanola
Deportes Iquique
Union Espanola
Deportes Temuco
Union Espanola
Curico Unido
Union Espanola
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union Espanola
Rangers de Talca
Union Espanola
Cobreloa
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
Antofagasta
Union Espanola
Recoleta
Union Espanola
O'Higgins
Union Espanola
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
Deportes Iquique
Union Espanola
Curico Unido
Union Espanola
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union Espanola
Cobreloa
Union Espanola
D. Puerto Montt
Union Espanola
Magallanes
Union Espanola
San Luis
Union Espanola
Recoleta
Union Espanola
Concepción
Union Espanola
Palestino
Union Espanola
A. Italiano
Union Espanola
Palestino
Union Espanola
Magallanes
Union Espanola
Real San Joaquín
Union Espanola
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
11 de Septiembre
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
Trasandino De Socorama
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38:23 | 15 | 38 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36:21 | 15 | 35 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Union Espanola
Home
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:21 | 12 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 31 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
San Marcos de Arica
Away
|
21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 9 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 30 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 25 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 9 |
W
L
L
D
D
|