WALES › PREMIER LEAGUE

21.08.2026 18:45

Trefelin

0 - 2

Caernarfon Town

Ynys Park

Referee: D. Morgan

Trefelin

Match Timeline

Caernarfon Town

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 84.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	84.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Trefelin Win 7.6%

Draw 7.6%

Caernarfon Town Win 84.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Trefelin1.17

Caernarfon Town2.72

Recent Form (Last 5)

Trefelin

WWDLW

2 GF / 24 GA

Caernarfon Town

WLDWL

8 GF / 14 GA

Key Stats

0.4

Average Goals Scored

1.33

4.8

Average Goals Conceded

2.33

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trefelin 5 matches

Caernarfon Town 6 matches

Trefelin	Statistic	Caernarfon Town
0	Wins	3
0	Draws	0
5	Losses	3
2	Goals For	8
24	Goals Against	14
0.4	Avg Goals Scored	1.33
4.8	Avg Goals Conceded	2.33
1	BTTS Yes	3
5	Over 1.5	6
4	Over 2.5	6
4	Over 3.5	2
0	Clean Sheets	1
4	Failed To Score	2
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Trefelin won 0 times, Caernarfon Town won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Trefelin's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: X2 (92.4%)

H2H summary: Trefelin wins 0, draws 0, Caernarfon Town wins 1

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	The New Saints	13	12	1	0	44:6	38	37	W W W W W
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	13	10	1	2	30:9	21	31	W W W W W
3	Penybont	13	9	3	1	25:11	14	30	W L W W W
4	Caernarfon Town Away	13	8	2	3	37:15	22	26	W L D W D
5	Colwyn Bay	13	8	1	4	22:15	7	25	W L W W W
6	Barry Town	13	8	1	4	28:23	5	25	L W L L D
7	Cardiff MET	13	6	3	4	24:16	8	21	L W W D L
8	Airbus UK	13	7	0	6	25:18	7	21	W W L W L
9	Cambrian & Clydach	13	5	3	5	21:33	-12	18	L L W L W
10	Llandudno	13	5	1	7	22:23	-1	16	L L L L D
11	Briton Ferry	13	3	3	7	12:22	-10	12	L W D D L
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	13	3	1	9	8:19	-11	10	L L L L W
13	Ammanford AFC	13	2	3	8	10:32	-22	9	W W L L D
14	Flint Town United	13	2	2	9	12:25	-13	8	L W W L L
15	Trefelin Home	13	1	3	9	8:31	-23	6	W L L D L
16	Holywell	13	0	2	11	14:44	-30	2	L L D L L

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