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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
30.09.2026 18:45
The Lamb Ground
Tamworth
Match Timeline
Sutton Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
T. Kurtaran
Tamworth
🟨
39'
J. Taylor
Sutton Utd
🔄
46'
T. Parkes ↔ J. Cullinane-Liburd
Tamworth
🔄
46'
J. Taylor ↔ B. Njoku
Sutton Utd
⚽
47'
K. Donnelly
Tamworth
🟨
49'
J. Cullinane-Liburd
Tamworth
⚽
52'
E. Osadebe
Tamworth
🔄
62'
J. Knight ↔ B. Amartey
Sutton Utd
🔄
63'
H. Carson ↔ B. Acquaye
Tamworth
🔄
65'
C. Bell ↔ S. Folarin
Sutton Utd
🔄
65'
T. Babalola ↔ O. Mussa
Sutton Utd
🔄
80'
T. Kurtaran ↔ G. Kelly
Tamworth
🟨
81'
E. Osadebe
Sutton Utd
🟨
87'
M. Roberts
Tamworth
🔄
89'
M. Roberts ↔ J. Hutchinson
Tamworth

Tamworth vs Sutton Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.3%
2.91 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.74 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tamworth Win 33.2%
Draw 12.5%
Sutton Utd Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tamworth1.59
Sutton Utd1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tamworth Tamworth
WWDLW
33 GF / 43 GA
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
WLDWL
26 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.53
2.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
17
BTTS Yes
9
17
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tamworth Tamworth 18 matches
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 17 matches
Tamworth Statistic Sutton Utd
6 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
33 Goals For 26
43 Goals Against 21
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
2.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
17 BTTS Yes 9
18 Over 1.5 15
17 Over 2.5 9
13 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sutton Utd. Sutton Utd carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 16 points while Tamworth sit 21 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sutton Utd having the stronger overall control.

Tamworth Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 21, Tamworth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 16:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sutton Utd Analysis

With 16 points from 9 games and a place of 6, Sutton Utd still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tamworth won 2 times, Sutton Utd won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Tamworth's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
H2H summary: Tamworth wins 2, draws 1, Sutton Utd wins 2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation