ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE

22.08.2026 11:30

Sutton Utd

2 - 1

Hartlepool

VBS Community Stadium

Referee: Oliver Mackey

Sutton Utd

Match Timeline

Hartlepool

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 46%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	46%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Sutton Utd Win 46%

Draw 16.4%

Hartlepool Win 37.6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Sutton Utd1.59

Hartlepool1.47

Recent Form (Last 5)

Sutton Utd

WWDLW

17 GF / 8 GA

Hartlepool

WLDWL

13 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

1.89

Average Goals Scored

1.86

0.89

Average Goals Conceded

1.14

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutton Utd 9 matches

Hartlepool 7 matches

Sutton Utd	Statistic	Hartlepool
6	Wins	6
2	Draws	0
1	Losses	1
17	Goals For	13
8	Goals Against	8
1.89	Avg Goals Scored	1.86
0.89	Avg Goals Conceded	1.14
5	BTTS Yes	3
8	Over 1.5	5
5	Over 2.5	4
2	Over 3.5	2
4	Clean Sheets	3
0	Failed To Score	1
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sutton Utd won 7 times, Hartlepool won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:20 from Sutton Utd's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)

H2H summary: Sutton Utd wins 7, draws 5, Hartlepool wins 3

Standings

Conference

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	21	35	W W W W W
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29:17	12	28	W W W W L
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	12	27	W W D L W
4	Yeovil Town	13	7	4	2	32:15	17	25	W W D W W
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	9	24	W W D W W
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	1	24	W L W W W
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24:18	6	23	W L L W L
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	6	21	W W W W W
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15:19	-4	21	W L W L W
10	FC Halifax Town	13	6	2	5	22:15	7	20	W W D L D
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	5	5	3	15:12	3	20	D D L L D
12	Aldershot Town	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18	L L L W L
13	Sutton Utd Home	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18	L D L D D
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17	D W W L L
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20:20	0	15	L W L W D
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15	L D D L D
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15	L L D L W
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14	L W W L W
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12	L L D W L
20	Hartlepool Away	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12	W L L L L
21	Boston United	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12	L L D L W
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10	L L W L L
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7	L L W L L
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4	L L L L L

Promotion - League Two

Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Relegation