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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
09.08.2026 18:00
Referee: J. I. Jonsson
Stjarnan
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
A. Conteh
Keflavik
🟨
7'
B. Waren
Stjarnan
🟨
7'
S. Magnusson
Keflavik
🟨
34'
A. Conteh
Keflavik
🟥
34'
A. Conteh
Keflavik
⚽
50'
B. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
61'
B. Ingason ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
🔄
61'
B. Gudlaugsson ↔ F. Elvarsson
Keflavik
🔄
62'
S. Ljubicic ↔ M. Mudrazija
Keflavik
🟨
70'
E. Karlsson
Keflavik
🔄
75'
S. Magnusson ↔ V. A. Traustason
Keflavik
🔄
81'
E. Atlason ↔ A. Vilhjalmsson
Stjarnan
🔄
81'
J. Gunnarsson ↔ I. Turay
Stjarnan
🔄
90+3'
O. Eggertsson ↔ A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
90'
D. Valsson ↔ A. Adalbjorssnos
Keflavik
🔄
90'
E. Bjarnason ↔ R. Holmarsson
Keflavik

Stjarnan vs Keflavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 63.2%
Draw 5.5%
Keflavik Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan1.9
Keflavik1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WWDLW
43 GF / 50 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
WLDWL
28 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.65
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
19
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 23 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 17 matches
Stjarnan Statistic Keflavik
9 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
10 Losses 7
43 Goals For 28
50 Goals Against 33
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
19 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 15
19 Over 2.5 12
16 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Stjarnan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keflavik. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Stjarnan Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Stjarnan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 29:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik are currently 6 in the standings with 19 points from 16 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 7 times, Keflavik won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from Stjarnan's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Stjarnan 4-3-3 / Keflavik -
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 7, draws 4, Keflavik wins 4

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs