Universitario vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
45.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Universitario Win 45.6%
Draw 16%
FBC Melgar Win 38.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario1.33
FBC Melgar1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario
WWDLW
56 GF / 40 GA
FBC Melgar
WLDWL
52 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
19
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
17
4.21
Shots on Goal
5.04
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universitario
37 matches
FBC Melgar
32 matches
| Universitario | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 15 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 56 | Goals For | 52 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.51 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 5.04 |
| 13.33 | Total Shots | 15.63 |
| 5.58 | Corners | 5.26 |
| 51.3% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 9 times, FBC Melgar won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Universitario's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Universitario 3-1-4-2 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universitario wins 9, draws 2, FBC Melgar wins 3
Standings
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Universitario
Home
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | 15 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 42 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 46:40 | 6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 25 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2