Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.9%
|
1.67 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.07 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
29 matches
Vitoria
29 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 13 |
| 33 | Goals For | 32 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 4.31 |
| 13.34 | Total Shots | 12.31 |
| 6.86 | Corners | 4.52 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 43.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vitoria arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vitoria. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sao Paulo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Vitoria in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vitoria having the stronger overall control.
Sao Paulo sit 10 with 36 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 33:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano (8 goals), J. Calleri (6 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Artur (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 33 points from 28 games and a place of 13, Vitoria still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 28:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Rene (9 goals), Renato Kayzer (4 goals), Erick (3 goals), with creative support from Erick (5 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Matheuzinho (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 11 times, Vitoria won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:15 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 27 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 12 |
Vitoria
Away
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|