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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
24.04.2026 17:30
Stade Fred-Aubert
Stade Briochin
Match Timeline
Concarneau
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
M. Faty · Assist: A. Zakharyan
Stade Briochin
⚽
10'
G. Gbelle · Assist: J. Tell
Concarneau
🟨
14'
A. Gomis
Stade Briochin
🔄
43'
S. Baldoni ↔ J. Varvat
Concarneau
🔄
63'
K. Achahbar ↔ S. Janno
Stade Briochin
⚽
74'
J. Varvat · Assist: B. Etcheverria
Concarneau
🔄
77'
M. Rabuel ↔ B. Angoua
Stade Briochin
🔄
81'
J. Tell ↔ Y. Soukouna
Concarneau
🔄
87'
S. Diakhabi ↔ C. Konan
Stade Briochin
🔄
87'
L. Yobe ↔ E. Monchatre
Stade Briochin
🟨
90+6'
A. Gomis
Stade Briochin
🟥
90+6'
A. Gomis
Stade Briochin
🔄
90+2'
G. Gbelle ↔ F. Da Silva
Concarneau

Stade Briochin vs Concarneau Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
78.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade Briochin Win 21.6%
Draw 28.1%
Concarneau Win 50.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Briochin1.12
Concarneau1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Briochin Stade Briochin
WWDLW
31 GF / 46 GA
Concarneau Concarneau
WLDWL
35 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
18
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 30 matches
Concarneau Concarneau 31 matches
Stade Briochin Statistic Concarneau
4 Wins 9
11 Draws 11
15 Losses 11
31 Goals For 35
46 Goals Against 39
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
18 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 14
0 Corners 2
0% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Concarneau arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Concarneau having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Concarneau. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Stade Briochin Analysis

With 20 points from 28 games and a place of 17, Stade Briochin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 27:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Yobe (6 goals), S. Janno (4 goals), C. Raux Yao (3 goals), with creative support from K. Achahbar (4 assists), G. Beghin (3 assists), S. Janno (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Concarneau Analysis

With 32 points from 28 games and a place of 12, Concarneau still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 28:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Soukouna (7 goals), J. Tell (4 goals), D. Seba (3 goals), with creative support from S. Baldoni (2 assists), M. Picouleau (2 assists), A. Samoura (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Stade Briochin won 0 times, Concarneau won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:19 from Stade Briochin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.5%)
H2H summary: Stade Briochin wins 0, draws 4, Concarneau wins 7

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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