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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
26.07.2026 00:30
CITYPARK
Referee: N. Bensalah
St. Louis City
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
12'
Rob Holding
Colorado Rapids
🔄
17'
D. Sealy ↔ M. Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🟨
25'
Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
🟨
45+3'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🔄
46'
D. Yapi ↔ G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
R. Cannon ↔ N. Cobb
Colorado Rapids
🔄
55'
H. Ojediran ↔ K. Thompson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
58'
S. Jeong ↔ E. Lowen
St. Louis City
🟨
68'
Josh Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🔄
69'
J. Atencio ↔ W. Frederick
Colorado Rapids
🔄
76'
S. Becher ↔ P. Ault
St. Louis City
🔄
76'
C. Durkin ↔ T. Ostrak
St. Louis City
⚽
83'
T. Ostrak · Assist: T. Totland
St. Louis City
🔄
87'
J. Orozco ↔ L. MacNaughton
St. Louis City
🔄
87'
M. Hartel ↔ M. Perez
St. Louis City
🟨
90+6'
Kosi Thompson
Colorado Rapids

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
St. Louis City Win 73.3%
Draw 5%
Colorado Rapids Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Louis City1.44
Colorado Rapids1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
33 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
12
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
12
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Louis City St. Louis City 20 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 20 matches
St. Louis City Statistic Colorado Rapids
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
8 Losses 11
26 Goals For 33
31 Goals Against 33
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.25
14.06 Total Shots 10.88
5.94 Corners 4.88
49.8% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colorado Rapids. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Colorado Rapids in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colorado Rapids having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. St. Louis City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

St. Louis City Analysis

So far, St. Louis City have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 19 points from 15 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:22 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcel Hartel (2 goals), Eduard Löwen (2 goals), Jeong Sang-bin (2 goals), with creative support from Simon Becher (3 assists), Marcel Hartel (1 assists), Eduard Löwen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 16 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 25:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Rafael Navarro (5 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (2 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 3 times, Colorado Rapids won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from St. Louis City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: St. Louis City 3-4-3 / Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: St. Louis City wins 3, draws 2, Colorado Rapids wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)