Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
St. Louis City
Austin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St. Louis City
17 matches
Austin
20 matches
| St. Louis City | Statistic | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 17 | Goals For | 22 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.15 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 10.64 |
| 6.23 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 46.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Louis City expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austin. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
St. Louis City sit 14 with 13 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 13:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Hartel (3 goals), Christopher Durkin (2 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (3 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), E. Lowen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Austin have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 14 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Uzuni (5 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), M. Agyemang (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (5 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), Guilherme Biro (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City won 6 times, Austin won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from St. Louis City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
St. Louis City
6
2
6
3
4
2
Lineups
St. Louis City
DC United
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
St. Louis City
New York City FC
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
San Diego
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
Toronto FC
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
Inter Miami
Austin
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Austin
Charlotte
Austin
DC United
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Chicago Fire
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
New York City FC
Austin
Louisville City
Austin
San Antonio
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
Charlotte
St. Louis City
Austin
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Austin
San Diego
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
Toronto FC
Austin
Inter Miami
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Austin
Charlotte
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
New York City FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 22 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 24 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 16 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
St. Louis City
Home
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Austin
Away
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:36 | -22 | 11 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
