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05.05.2026 22:00
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Referee: D. Herrera
Sporting Cristal
Match Timeline
Palmeiras
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Gustavo Gómez
Palmeiras
🟨
30'
Irven Ávila
Sporting Cristal
⚽
32'
J. Lopez · Assist: J. Arias
Palmeiras
🟨
47'
Martín Távara
Sporting Cristal
⚽
50'
R. Sosa
Palmeiras
🔄
57'
I. Avila ↔ F. Vizeu
Sporting Cristal
🔄
58'
L. Iberico ↔ Gabriel
Sporting Cristal
🔄
66'
S. Gonzalez ↔ J. Gonzalez
Sporting Cristal
🔄
73'
J. Arias ↔ Felipe Anderson
Palmeiras
🔄
73'
Arthur Gabriel ↔ Lucas Evangelista
Palmeiras
🔄
73'
R. Sosa ↔ Jefte
Palmeiras
🟨
76'
Agustín Giay
Palmeiras
🔄
81'
L. Sosa ↔ I. Wisdom
Sporting Cristal
🔄
81'
M. Tavara ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
81'
Andreas Pereira ↔ E. Martinez
Palmeiras
🔄
89'
J. Lopez ↔ Paulinho
Palmeiras

Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 26.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
26.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sporting Cristal Win 38.2%
Draw 13.3%
Palmeiras Win 48.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Cristal1.27
Palmeiras1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
14
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
9
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 21 matches
Palmeiras Palmeiras 17 matches
Sporting Cristal Statistic Palmeiras
8 Wins 11
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 1
33 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 14
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
14 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 12
14 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 1
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.76
14.55 Total Shots 13.94
5.35 Corners 6
59.1% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal won 0 times, Palmeiras won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:13 from Sporting Cristal's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1 / Palmeiras 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sporting Cristal wins 0, draws 0, Palmeiras wins 4

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 6:2 4 13
W W W D W
2 6 3 2 1 10:5 5 11
W L W D W
3 6 2 0 4 6:9 -3 6
L L L W L
4 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals