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BRAZIL › SERIE B
27.07.2026 22:30
Ilha do Retiro
Referee: Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Pedro Martins
Sport Recife
🟨
33'
David
Cuiaba
🔄
33'
Pedro Martins ↔ Diego Hernandez
Sport Recife
⚽
53'
Pedro Perotti
Sport Recife
🔄
59'
Marlon ↔ Lorenzo
Cuiaba
🔄
59'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
68'
Clayson ↔ Dudu
Sport Recife
🔄
70'
Jean Dias ↔ H. Pedro
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
David Miguel ↔ Luiz Otavio
Cuiaba
🔄
70'
Raylan ↔ Igor Inocencio
Cuiaba
🔄
71'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Yago Felipe
Sport Recife
⚽
75'
Fabio Gomes · Assist: Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba

Sport Recife vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 58.8%
Draw 13.8%
Cuiaba Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.05
Cuiaba0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
24 GF / 18 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.74
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
11
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
3
4.37
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 19 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 19 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Cuiaba
6 Wins 5
10 Draws 9
3 Losses 5
24 Goals For 14
18 Goals Against 14
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
11 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 10
4.37 Shots On Goal 4.42
13.95 Total Shots 12.68
5 Corners 4.95
54.1% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cuiaba. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Sport Recife Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Sport Recife have collected 27 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 23:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chrystian Barletta (5 goals), Perotti (4 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (2 assists), C. de Pena (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 11 with 24 points after 18 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), João Basso (1 assists), Hernandes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 1 times, Cuiaba won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Sport Recife's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-3-3 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 1, draws 4, Cuiaba wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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