Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
74.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Austria Vienna
24 matches
Sturm Graz
24 matches
| Austria Vienna | Statistic | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 12 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 52 | Goals For | 50 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 2.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.46 | Shots On Goal | 4.42 |
| 9.62 | Total Shots | 15.33 |
| 3.85 | Corners | 6 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sturm Graz. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austria Vienna expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Sturm Graz in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sturm Graz having the stronger overall control. Sturm Graz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 11 points while Austria Vienna sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
From their first 7 matches, Austria Vienna have collected 7 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 7:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Fischer (2 goals), J. Hettwer (2 goals), K. Boateng (1 goals), with creative support from K. Boateng (2 assists), M. Fischer (1 assists), Lee Tae-Seok (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sturm Graz arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 11 points after 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Jatta (2 goals), Nelson Weiper (2 goals), Szymon Włodarczyk (1 goals), with creative support from S. Seidl (4 assists), Emran Soglo (1 assists), A. Malic (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Austria Vienna won 6 times, Sturm Graz won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:25 from Austria Vienna's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
Away
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:16 | -10 | 8 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Austria Vienna
Home
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
L
L
L
|