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SWEDEN › ETTAN - SöDRA
10.10.2026 14:00
Hyllie IP

AFC Malmo vs Skövde AIK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Malmo Win 61.1%
Draw 9.9%
Skövde AIK Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Malmo1.72
Skövde AIK1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo
WWDLW
45 GF / 35 GA
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK
WLDWL
55 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
16
BTTS Yes
24
17
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Malmo AFC Malmo 25 matches
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 33 matches
AFC Malmo Statistic Skövde AIK
11 Wins 13
8 Draws 10
6 Losses 10
45 Goals For 55
35 Goals Against 53
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
16 BTTS Yes 24
21 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features AFC Malmo's more proactive style and Skövde AIK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Skövde AIK. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Skövde AIK having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AFC Malmo Analysis

AFC Malmo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 41 points after 25 outings. With 11 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:35, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Skövde AIK Analysis

Skövde AIK sit 11 with 30 points after 24 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 28:36 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, AFC Malmo won 1 times, Skövde AIK won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from AFC Malmo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
H2H summary: AFC Malmo wins 1, draws 0, Skövde AIK wins 0

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 55:28 27 54
W W W W W
2 25 13 7 5 49:35 14 46
D W W L W
3 25 14 3 8 46:30 16 45
W L L W L
4 25 11 8 6 46:29 17 41
L L L W W
5 25 11 8 6 45:35 10 41
W W W L D
6 25 10 8 7 42:37 5 38
D W W W W
7 25 10 8 7 41:37 4 38
L W D L L
8 25 9 6 10 29:26 3 33
L L W W D
9 25 9 6 10 33:39 -6 33
L L L L D
10 25 8 9 8 31:38 -7 33
W W L L W
11 25 9 5 11 40:44 -4 32
W L D W L
12 25 9 3 13 41:48 -7 30
L L D W L
13 25 7 6 12 29:37 -8 27
L W W L D
14 25 7 4 14 32:43 -11 25
W L L D W
15 25 4 9 12 31:47 -16 21
W L D L L
16 25 2 6 17 23:60 -37 12
L W L D L