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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
01.05.2026 15:00
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: I. Shengelia
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Torpedo Kutaisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
L. Kokhreidze · Assist: T. Tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🟨
19'
T. Tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🟨
27'
M. Itrak
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
35'
L. Kokhreidze
Spaeri
🟨
55'
M. Cherif
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
67'
M. Cherif ↔ Warley
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
67'
Felipe Pires ↔ K. Zita
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
70'
L. Kokhreidze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
⚽
75'
A. Basiladze · Assist: G. Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
82'
G. Samkharadze
Spaeri
🔄
87'
G. Samkharadze ↔ G. Tsetskhladze
Spaeri
🔄
87'
N. Chagunava ↔ S. Mathenjwa
Spaeri
🔄
89'
D. Deisadze ↔ G. Kokhreidze
Torpedo Kutaisi

Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
45.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 31.4%
Draw 13.5%
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.26
Torpedo Kutaisi1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WLDWL
23 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
9
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
7
4.67
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 14 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 14 matches
Spaeri Statistic Torpedo Kutaisi
5 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
22 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 11
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4.67 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 0
4.56 Corners 4.11
52.2% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Torpedo Kutaisi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Torpedo Kutaisi having the stronger overall control. Spaeri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri sit 5 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 12:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Samkharadze (3 goals), L. Kokhreidze (2 goals), G. Tsirdava (1 goals), with creative support from G. Samkharadze (1 assists), L. Kokhreidze (1 assists), G. Tsirdava (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 14 points after 9 matches. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Mamuchashvili (3 goals), D. Deisadze (2 goals), Felipe Pires (2 goals), with creative support from G. Arabidze (4 assists), V. Mamuchashvili (3 assists), D. Deisadze (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 1 times, Torpedo Kutaisi won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Spaeri's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri 4-2-3-1 / Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 1, draws 3, Torpedo Kutaisi wins 2

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 47:36 11 50
W W D W W
2 28 14 7 7 35:24 11 49
W L W D L
3 28 15 4 9 40:31 9 49
W L W W W
4 28 13 9 6 45:31 14 48
L W W W D
5 28 12 4 12 39:33 6 40
L W L D W
6 28 9 10 9 46:37 9 37
D L W D D
7 28 10 5 13 41:52 -11 35
W L L L L
8 28 6 11 11 25:40 -15 29
L D L D L
9 28 5 11 12 37:46 -9 26
D L L D D
10 28 2 11 15 21:46 -25 17
L D L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2