Sao Paulo vs Internacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.6%
|
2.01 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
26 matches
Internacional
27 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 11 |
| 31 | Goals For | 30 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.41 |
| 13.15 | Total Shots | 14.7 |
| 6.69 | Corners | 6.19 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 47.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sao Paulo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 33 points compared to Internacional in 18 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sao Paulo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Internacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Internacional. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
From their first 26 matches, Sao Paulo have collected 33 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 31:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luciano (7 goals), J. Calleri (5 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Artur (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Internacional sit 18 with 28 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Carbonero (7 goals), A. Bernabéi (4 goals), Alan Patrick (4 goals), with creative support from J. Carbonero (4 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Internacional won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 27 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Internacional
Away
|
29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|