ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
10.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes

Quilmes vs Agropecuario Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
61.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Quilmes Win 79.1%
Draw 14.4%
Agropecuario Win 6.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Quilmes1.01
Agropecuario0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Quilmes Quilmes
WWDLW
30 GF / 27 GA
Agropecuario Agropecuario
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
7
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Quilmes Quilmes 32 matches
Agropecuario Agropecuario 33 matches
Quilmes Statistic Agropecuario
10 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
13 Losses 14
30 Goals For 26
27 Goals Against 37
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
7 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 23
10 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 12
17 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Quilmes's more proactive style and Agropecuario's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Agropecuario having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Agropecuario. Quilmes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Quilmes Analysis

Quilmes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 38 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 30:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Agropecuario Analysis

With 36 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Agropecuario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Quilmes won 2 times, Agropecuario won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Quilmes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.5%)
H2H summary: Quilmes wins 2, draws 5, Agropecuario wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 15 13 4 32:15 17 58
D W D D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 32 13 9 10 34:26 8 48
D L W W L
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 7 12 32:31 1 46
W W L W L
8 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
9 31 12 8 11 38:31 7 44
W D D D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 32 11 9 12 27:30 -3 42
L L W L L
12 32 10 9 13 30:27 3 39
D W L W L
13 32 10 8 14 28:38 -10 38
W L L D L
14 32 9 10 13 26:35 -9 37
D L W L W
15 31 9 9 13 23:29 -6 36
W D L W L
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 32 9 6 17 24:33 -9 33
W L W L L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation