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BRAZIL › SERIE A
18.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Do MorumBIS

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.14
Fluminense1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
33 GF / 34 GA
Fluminense Fluminense
WLDWL
67 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
16
BTTS Yes
28
11
Over 2.5
21
4.17
Shots on Goal
5.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 29 matches
Fluminense Fluminense 41 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic Fluminense
10 Wins 19
6 Draws 13
13 Losses 9
33 Goals For 67
34 Goals Against 47
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
16 BTTS Yes 28
22 Over 1.5 34
11 Over 2.5 21
3 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 6
4.17 Shots On Goal 5.41
13.34 Total Shots 14.28
6.86 Corners 4.87
53.1% Ball Possession 59.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 6 times, Fluminense won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 6, draws 2, Fluminense wins 7

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 7 4 57:25 32 61
D W W W W
2 29 17 9 3 48:21 27 60
W D W D D
3 29 14 9 6 48:36 12 51
W W L W D
4 29 14 8 7 45:34 11 50
D W D L D
5 29 14 6 9 44:40 4 48
W W L W L
6 29 12 10 7 43:36 7 46
L L W W W
7 29 12 8 9 39:34 5 44
D W D W L
8 29 11 9 9 45:43 2 42
D W W W W
9 29 10 8 11 37:47 -10 38
L L D L W
10 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
11 29 10 6 13 33:34 -1 36
L L W L W
12 29 10 6 13 32:42 -10 36
W L D W L
13 29 9 8 12 42:47 -5 35
L L W D D
14 28 9 7 12 36:42 -6 34
W W W L W
15 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
16 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 29 5 9 15 33:48 -15 24
D L L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B