CHILE PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Carlos Dittborn
San Marcos de Arica
Match Timeline
Antofagasta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
A. Galleguillos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
A. Galleguillos ↔ B. Sagredo
San Marcos de Arica
50'
J. Monreal
Antofagasta
65'
C. Melivilu Fuentes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
66'
C. Bravo ↔ K. Campillay
Antofagasta
🔄
74'
A. Barrios ↔ G. Reyes
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
83'
N. Zedan ↔ A. Abalos
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
83'
M. Gallegos Panozzo ↔ D. Rojas
Antofagasta
🟨
85'
F. Hurtado Perez
Antofagasta
🔄
89'
C. Rencoret ↔ M. Iturra
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
90+4'
A. Abalos
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
90+4'
S. Leyton
Antofagasta
🔄
90+1'
B. Hurtado ↔ A. Ibacache
Antofagasta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Marcos de Arica Win 61.2%
Draw 11.4%
Antofagasta Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Marcos de Arica1.17
Antofagasta1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Antofagasta Antofagasta
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 13 matches
Antofagasta Antofagasta 13 matches
San Marcos de Arica Statistic Antofagasta
5 Wins 7
7 Draws 3
1 Losses 3
16 Goals For 22
12 Goals Against 14
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Antofagasta. San Marcos de Arica come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Antofagasta having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 20 points from 10 games, San Marcos de Arica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 5 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Melivilu Fuentes (8 goals), C. Guerra (2 goals), N. Donadell (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Antofagasta Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 20 points from 11 games, Antofagasta bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 20:13 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Hurtado (5 goals), J. Monreal (5 goals), M. Gallegos Panozzo (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 2 times, Antofagasta won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from San Marcos de Arica's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
H2H summary: San Marcos de Arica wins 2, draws 3, Antofagasta wins 2

Lineups

San Marcos de Arica
Formation
Antofagasta
B. Tapia
B. Tapia
C. Guerra
C. Guerra
J. Rivera
J. Rivera
M. Moya Godoy
M. Moya Godoy
Y. M. Aguila Bastias
Y. M. Aguila Bastias
C. Rencoret
C. Rencoret
A. Galleguillos
A. Galleguillos
A. Barrios
A. Barrios
N. Donadell
N. Donadell
N. Zedan
N. Zedan
C. Melivilu Fuentes
C. Melivilu Fuentes
F. Hurtado Perez
F. Hurtado Perez
M. Maluenda
M. Maluenda
M. Suarez
M. Suarez
C. Diaz
C. Diaz
Z. Abuhadba
Z. Abuhadba
S. Leyton
S. Leyton
A. Cuadra
A. Cuadra
M. Gallegos Panozzo
M. Gallegos Panozzo
C. Bravo
C. Bravo
J. Monreal
J. Monreal
B. Hurtado
B. Hurtado
San Marcos de Arica 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
B. Tapia
14
C. Guerra
5
J. Rivera
17
M. Moya Godoy
3
Y. M. Aguila Bastias
26
C. Rencoret
↓ 89'
18
A. Galleguillos
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
8
A. Barrios
↓ 74'
22
N. Donadell
11
N. Zedan
↓ 83'
9
C. Melivilu Fuentes
⚽ 65'
Substitutes
30
J. Munoz
23
A. Cazula
4
M. Iturra
↑ 89'
10
B. Sagredo
↑ 46'
24
D. Pereira
16
G. Reyes
↑ 74'
20
A. Abalos
↑ 83' 🟨 90+4'
Antofagasta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
F. Hurtado Perez
🟨 85'
3
M. Maluenda
22
M. Suarez
6
C. Diaz
13
Z. Abuhadba
8
S. Leyton
🟨 90+4'
20
A. Cuadra
16
M. Gallegos Panozzo
↓ 83'
7
C. Bravo
↓ 66'
9
J. Monreal
⚽ 50'
17
B. Hurtado
↓ 90+1'
Substitutes
25
J. P. Cisternas
4
B. Tapia
15
A. Ibacache
↑ 90+1'
10
D. Rojas
↑ 83'
14
K. Campillay
↑ 66'
21
F. Manzano
31
S. Ramirez
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
06.07.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
4
L
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
06.06.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
San Luis
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
D. Puerto Montt
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Curico Unido
2
2
D
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Rangers de Talca
3
2
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
23.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Magallanes
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
4
L
Last matches: Antofagasta
05.07.26
Cop
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
4
2
W
28.06.26
Cop
Antofagasta
Cobresal
1
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
4
2
W
07.06.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Magallanes
0
0
D
01.06.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Curico Unido
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Antofagasta
San Luis
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Cobreloa
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Recoleta
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Deportes Copiapo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Deportes Temuco
3
3
D
29.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Deportes Iquique
4
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Santiago Wanderers
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Union Espanola
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
D. Puerto Montt
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
08.02.26
Cop
Antofagasta
Cobreloa
0
0
D
30.01.26
Cop
Antofagasta
Cobreloa
2
1
W
H2H: San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta
17.05.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
2
3
W
06.08.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
24.03.24
H2H
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
2
1
L
09.10.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
4
3
W
28.05.23
H2H
Antofagasta
San Marcos de Arica
4
1
L
Last matches: San Marcos de Arica
27.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
20.06.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco
0
1
L
05.05.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Recoleta
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Cobreloa
2
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Union Espanola
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Iquique
0
0
D
H2H at home: San Marcos de Arica
17.05.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
0
0
D
06.08.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
09.10.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
4
3
W
Last matches: Antofagasta
05.07.26
Cop
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
4
2
W
28.06.26
Cop
Antofagasta
Cobresal
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Curico Unido
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Cobreloa
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Recoleta
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Deportes Temuco
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Santiago Wanderers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Antofagasta
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
08.02.26
Cop
Antofagasta
Cobreloa
0
0
D
H2H away: Antofagasta
17.05.26
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
31.08.25
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
0
0
D
06.08.24
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
1
1
D
09.10.23
H2H
San Marcos de Arica
Antofagasta
4
3
L

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 5 2 30:17 13 29
D W D W L
2 15 7 5 3 29:18 11 26
L D W W W
3 15 6 7 2 19:11 8 25
L L W D D
4 15 6 5 4 26:18 8 23
L W W W L
5 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
D L D D W
6 15 6 5 4 24:21 3 23
W D W W L
7 15 7 2 6 17:16 1 23
D L L L W
8 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
D D L W W
9 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D W L W L
10 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D D D L W
11 15 6 4 5 21:23 -2 22
W D W L W
12 15 4 6 5 16:24 -8 18
W W D L D
13 15 4 4 7 13:27 -14 16
D W L W L
14 15 2 7 6 19:23 -4 13
D L D L D
15 15 2 6 7 19:26 -7 12
W D D L L
16 15 0 3 12 11:28 -17 3
L L L L D
Promotion - Liga de Primera
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - Segunda Division