BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds 1.70
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
1.70
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.05
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Porto Velho Win 58%
Draw 12%
Sao Raimundo Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Porto Velho2.15
Sao Raimundo0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WWDLW
34 GF / 10 GA
Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo
WLDWL
11 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3.09
Average Goals Scored
1
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
7
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Porto Velho Porto Velho 11 matches
Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 11 matches
Porto Velho Statistic Sao Raimundo
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 3
34 Goals For 11
10 Goals Against 8
3.09 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
7 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Raimundo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Raimundo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sao Raimundo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Porto Velho Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Porto Velho arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 18 points after 10 matches. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 33:9, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Ruan Costa (8 goals), Jeferson (5 goals), Luan Viana (4 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Sao Raimundo Analysis

Sao Raimundo enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 10:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on G. Gomes (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Porto Velho won 1 times, Sao Raimundo won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Porto Velho's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Porto Velho wins 1, draws 2, Sao Raimundo wins 2
Last matches: Porto Velho
21.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
6
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
0
7
L
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
07.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
2
L
24.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
1
L
Last matches: Sao Raimundo
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
0
D
H2H: Porto Velho vs Sao Raimundo
21.06.26
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
1
1
D
26.06.24
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
4
1
L
08.06.24
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
5
1
W
11.06.22
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
0
1
L
21.05.22
H2H
Sao Raimundo
Porto Velho
2
2
D
Last matches: Porto Velho
14.06.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Humaitá
13
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Guaporé
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Independência
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Araguaína
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Porto Velho
Galvez
4
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Mixto
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goiânia
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Goianésia
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Luverdense
0
0
D
31.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Ceilândia
0
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
3
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H at home: Porto Velho
08.06.24
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
5
1
W
11.06.22
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
0
1
L
Last matches: Sao Raimundo
14.06.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manauara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Monte Roraima
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
Manaus FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Sao Raimundo
GAS
2
0
W
H2H away: Sao Raimundo
08.06.24
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
5
1
L
11.06.22
H2H
Porto Velho
Sao Raimundo
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.25
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.40
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.38
Draw 3.48
Home 1.71
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.14
Draw 2.07
Home 2.31
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.58
Draw 2.42
Home 2.09
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.21
Over 3.0 2.74
Over 3.25 3.08
Over 3.5 3.48
Over 4.0 6.20
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 10.50
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 8.25
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 4.29
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 1.75 2.74
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 2.75 1.53
Under 3.0 1.35
Under 3.25 1.28
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 3.30
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.23
Home 2.23
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.50
Home 2.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 3.5 3.15
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.28

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)