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BRAZIL › SERIE D
28.06.2026 20:00
Porto Velho
Match Timeline
Sao Raimundo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
Ruan Costa
Porto Velho
⚽
90'
G. Gomes
Sao Raimundo

Porto Velho vs Sao Raimundo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Porto Velho Win 58%
Draw 12%
Sao Raimundo Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Porto Velho2.15
Sao Raimundo0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WWDLW
34 GF / 10 GA
Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo
WLDWL
11 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
3.09
Average Goals Scored
1
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
7
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Porto Velho Porto Velho 11 matches
Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 11 matches
Porto Velho Statistic Sao Raimundo
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 3
34 Goals For 11
10 Goals Against 8
3.09 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
7 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Raimundo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sao Raimundo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sao Raimundo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Porto Velho Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Porto Velho arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 18 points after 10 matches. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 33:9, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Ruan Costa (8 goals), Jeferson (5 goals), Luan Viana (4 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Sao Raimundo Analysis

Sao Raimundo enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 10:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on G. Gomes (4 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Porto Velho won 1 times, Sao Raimundo won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Porto Velho's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Porto Velho wins 1, draws 3, Sao Raimundo wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)