CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Referee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile
Palestino
Match Timeline
D. La Serena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
B. Carrasco · Assist: I. A. Garguez Gomez
Palestino
24'
F. T. Montes Romero
Palestino
🔄
31'
A. Zanini ↔ R. Delgado
D. La Serena
39'
N. Da Silva
Palestino
🔄
46'
F. T. Montes Romero ↔ J. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
46'
F. Chamorro ↔ J. Gutierrez
D. La Serena
🔄
46'
L. Alarcon ↔ S. Diaz
D. La Serena
🔄
54'
D. Rubio ↔ N. Stefanelli
D. La Serena
🔄
65'
N. Da Silva ↔ R. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
65'
S. Gallegos ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
67'
B. Carrasco ↔ M. Araya
Palestino
76'
César Munder
Palestino
76'
C. Munder
Palestino
🟨
78'
Bruno Gutiérrez
D. La Serena
VAR
79'
Federico Lanzillotta
D. La Serena
🔄
79'
J. Orellana ↔ M. Marin
D. La Serena
83'
J. Leon · Assist: N. Meza
Palestino
🔄
84'
E. Roco ↔ J. Bizama
Palestino
86'
A. Henriquez
D. La Serena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Palestino Win 63%
Draw 7.5%
D. La Serena Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palestino1.33
D. La Serena1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palestino Palestino
WWDLW
14 GF / 18 GA
D. La Serena D. La Serena
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
6
4.45
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palestino Palestino 11 matches
D. La Serena D. La Serena 12 matches
Palestino Statistic D. La Serena
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
14 Goals For 15
18 Goals Against 17
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
4.45 Shots On Goal 3.73
14.09 Total Shots 10.09
4.45 Corners 4.45
50.5% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward D. La Serena. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palestino have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino sit 11 with 14 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Da Silva (5 goals), C. Munder (1 goals), Dilan Zúñiga (1 goals), with creative support from Julián Fernández (3 assists), N. Da Silva (1 assists), Dilan Zúñiga (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

D. La Serena Analysis

So far, D. La Serena have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 13:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vargas (5 goals), F. Chamorro (3 goals), Diego Rubio (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Rubio (3 assists), J. Vargas (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 4 times, D. La Serena won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Palestino's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Palestino 4-1-4-1 / D. La Serena 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Palestino wins 4, draws 2, D. La Serena wins 3
Stats
Palestino Palestino
D. La Serena D. La Serena
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 4
14 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
25 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 5
13 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
341 Total passes 438
241 Passes accurate 331
4.33 expected_goals 1.37
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Palestino
Formation
D. La Serena
S. A. Perez Kirby
S. A. Perez Kirby
I. A. Garguez Gomez
🎯
I. A. Garguez Gomez
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
E. Roco
E. Roco
J. Leon
J. Leon
S. Gallegos
S. Gallegos
N. Meza
🎯
N. Meza
B. Carrasco
B. Carrasco
F. T. Montes Romero
F. T. Montes Romero
C. Munder
⚽ 2
C. Munder
N. Da Silva
N. Da Silva
F. Lanzillotta
F. Lanzillotta
B. Gutierrez
B. Gutierrez
A. Zanini
A. Zanini
L. Alarcon
L. Alarcon
Y. Salazar
Y. Salazar
J. Orellana
J. Orellana
A. Henriquez
A. Henriquez
F. Chamorro
F. Chamorro
G. Escalante
G. Escalante
J. Vargas
J. Vargas
D. Rubio
D. Rubio
Palestino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
G
29
I. A. Garguez Gomez
🎯 7'
D
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
3
E. Roco
↓ 84'
D
23
J. Leon
⚽ 83'
D
18
S. Gallegos
↓ 65'
M
8
N. Meza
🎯 83'
M
7
B. Carrasco
⚽ 7' ↓ 67'
M
15
F. T. Montes Romero
⚽ 24' ↓ 46'
27
C. Munder
⚽ 76' ⚽ 76'
M
19
N. Da Silva
⚽ 39' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Salas
G
9
R. Fernandez
↑ 65'
F
5
J. Fernandez
↑ 46'
M
16
J. Bizama
↑ 84'
D
20
G. Tapia Paez
↑ 65'
F
4
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
D
24
D. Salgado
21
M. Araya
↑ 67'
F
30
I. Alegria
F
D. La Serena 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Lanzillotta
G
21
B. Gutierrez
🟨 78'
D
2
A. Zanini
↓ 31'
D
5
L. Alarcon
↓ 46'
17
Y. Salazar
D
28
J. Orellana
↓ 79'
9
A. Henriquez
⚽ 86'
M
14
F. Chamorro
↓ 46'
M
8
G. Escalante
M
10
J. Vargas
M
11
D. Rubio
↓ 54'
F
Substitutes
22
E. A. Sanhueza Mora
33
R. Delgado
↑ 31'
D
16
J. Gutierrez
↑ 46'
D
24
F. Diaz
6
S. Diaz
↑ 46'
34
N. Stefanelli
↑ 54'
F
23
M. Marin
↑ 79'
M
26
F. Dinamarca
D
19
B. Sandoval
Last matches: Palestino
04.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
2
1
W
30.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
3
L
27.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
24.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
4
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
24.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
3
L
H2H: Palestino vs D. La Serena
16.05.26
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
29.11.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Palestino
0
3
W
14.06.25
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
2
1
W
23.10.22
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
0
W
14.05.22
H2H
D. La Serena
Palestino
0
0
D
25.10.21
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
3
3
D
20.07.21
H2H
D. La Serena
Palestino
4
3
L
22.11.20
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
1
3
L
14.10.20
H2H
D. La Serena
Palestino
4
2
L
Last matches: Palestino
24.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
4
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Palestino
16.05.26
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
2
1
W
23.10.22
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
0
W
25.10.21
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
3
3
D
22.11.20
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
1
3
L
Last matches: D. La Serena
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
H2H away: D. La Serena
16.05.26
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
2
1
L
23.10.22
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
0
L
25.10.21
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
3
3
D
22.11.20
H2H
Palestino
D. La Serena
1
3
W

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso