Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.6%
|
1.77 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
2.01 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Nublense
Union La Calera
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nublense
23 matches
Union La Calera
24 matches
| Nublense | Statistic | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 10 |
| 31 | Goals For | 33 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.88 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 12.06 | Total Shots | 10.22 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nublense's more proactive style and Union La Calera's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nublense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 25 points compared to Union La Calera in 16 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nublense expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Union La Calera in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union La Calera having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Union La Calera. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Nublense have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 25 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 20:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ignacio Jeraldino (2 goals), Lucas Molina (2 goals), Matías Plaza (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Plaza (3 assists), Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Union La Calera sit 16 with 13 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats with a 15:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kevin Méndez (3 goals), Sebastián Sáez (3 goals), Francisco Jose Pozzo (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Méndez (3 assists), Christopher Díaz (2 assists), Nicolás Avellaneda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nublense won 2 times, Union La Calera won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Nublense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Nublense
4
4
9
4
2
2
Lineups
Nublense
U. Catolica
Nublense
A. Italiano
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
Nublense
Palestino
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Huachipato
Nublense
Cobresal
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Colo Colo
Nublense
O'Higgins
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
Everton de Vina
Nublense
D. La Serena
Nublense
Concepción
Nublense
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
Cobresal
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Palestino
Union La Calera
Huachipato
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
Concepción
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
Nublense
Palestino
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Huachipato
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
O'Higgins
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
D. La Serena
Nublense
U. Catolica
Nublense
A. Italiano
Nublense
Deportes Limache
Nublense
Huachipato
Nublense
Magallanes
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Deportes Santa Cruz
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Magallanes
Nublense
D. Puerto Montt
Nublense
Linares Unido
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
Cobresal
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Huachipato
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
San Luis
Union La Calera
San Antonio Unido
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Trasandino
Union La Calera
Santiago Morning
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Nublense
Home
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 22 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Union La Calera
Away
|
20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 14 |
D
L
L
L
D
|