Northampton
Match Timeline
Swindon Town
Northampton vs Swindon Town Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 32.2%
Draw 13.9%
Swindon Town Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton1.57
Swindon Town1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Swindon Town
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Northampton
5 matches
Swindon Town
6 matches
| Northampton | Statistic | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 7 | Goals For | 12 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.83 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 5 times, Swindon Town won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Northampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Northampton 4-4-2 / Swindon Town 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Northampton wins 5, draws 4, Swindon Town wins 6
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 9 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Swindon Town
Away
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 23 |
Northampton
Home
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League