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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
19.04.2026 10:15
Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Referee: M. Szczerbowicz
Nieciecza
Match Timeline
Wisla Plock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Sergio Guerrero
Nieciecza
⚽
36'
W. Nowak · Assist: D. Kun
Wisla Plock
⚽
39'
Z. Rogelj · Assist: D. Pacheco
Wisla Plock
⚽
51'
G. Niarchos · Assist: D. Gallapeni
Wisla Plock
🔄
57'
M. Fassbender ↔ I. Strzalek
Nieciecza
🔄
57'
A. Putivtsev ↔ A. Kasperkiewicz
Nieciecza
🔄
57'
J. Jimenez ↔ I. Durdov
Nieciecza
🔄
60'
D. Gallapeni ↔ Q. Lecoeuche
Wisla Plock
🔄
61'
D. Kun ↔ K. Custovic
Wisla Plock
🔄
66'
S. Guerrero ↔ D. Biniek
Nieciecza
🔄
68'
K. Savvidis ↔ T. Tavares
Wisla Plock
🔄
69'
G. Niarchos ↔ D. Sarapata
Wisla Plock
🟨
80'
Dominik Biniek
Nieciecza
⚽
87'
K. Zapolnik · Assist: D. Hilbrycht
Nieciecza
🔄
90+2'
D. Pacheco ↔ M. Bokhno
Wisla Plock

Nieciecza vs Wisla Plock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nieciecza Win 27.3%
Draw 13.6%
Wisla Plock Win 59.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nieciecza1.08
Wisla Plock1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nieciecza Nieciecza
WWDLW
33 GF / 51 GA
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
19
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
8
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nieciecza Nieciecza 28 matches
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 28 matches
Nieciecza Statistic Wisla Plock
6 Wins 11
7 Draws 9
15 Losses 8
33 Goals For 29
51 Goals Against 26
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
19 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 9
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.54
12.61 Total Shots 11.64
4.39 Corners 3.79
43.9% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wisla Plock's more proactive style and Nieciecza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nieciecza expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Wisla Plock in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wisla Plock having the stronger overall control. Wisla Plock carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 42 points while Nieciecza sit 18 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Nieciecza have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Wisla Plock. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Nieciecza Analysis

Nieciecza sit 18 with 25 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 33:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), Andrzej Trubeha (3 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (2 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wisla Plock Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Wisla Plock have collected 42 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 29:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Sekulski (8 goals), Deni Jurić (5 goals), Wiktor Nowak (3 goals), with creative support from D. Kun (3 assists), Dani Pacheco (2 assists), J. Jimenez (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nieciecza won 2 times, Wisla Plock won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:17 from Nieciecza's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: Nieciecza 3-4-3 / Wisla Plock 3-5-2
H2H summary: Nieciecza wins 2, draws 2, Wisla Plock wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation