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MEXICO › LIGA MX
19.04.2026 01:05
Estadio BBVA
Referee: D. Quintero
Monterrey
Match Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
21'
L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🟨
26'
S. Medina
Monterrey
🟨
26'
S. Rondon
Pachuca
🟨
28'
Eduardo Bauermann
Pachuca
🔄
46'
E. Montiel ↔ A. Bautista
CF Pachuca
⚽
54'
Kenedy
CF Pachuca
🔄
64'
J. Corona ↔ S. Canales
Monterrey
🔄
64'
O. Idrissi ↔ A. Dominguez
CF Pachuca
🟨
70'
C. Rivera
Pachuca
⚽
72'
A. Bautista · Assist: A. Dominguez
CF Pachuca
🟨
76'
L. Ocampos
Monterrey
🔄
76'
S. Rondon ↔ E. Valencia
CF Pachuca
🔄
78'
L. Reyes ↔ G. Arteaga
Monterrey
🔄
78'
L. Orellano ↔ S. Rodriguez
Monterrey
🔄
79'
L. Ocampos ↔ U. Djurdjevic
Monterrey
🟨
80'
V. Guzman
Pachuca
⚽
83'
E. Valencia · Assist: C. Rivera
CF Pachuca
🔄
87'
Kenedy ↔ S. Rodriguez
CF Pachuca

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
91%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Monterrey Win 18.5%
Draw 0%
CF Pachuca Win 81.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monterrey1.44
CF Pachuca1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monterrey Monterrey
WWDLW
58 GF / 51 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
46 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
18
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
17
5.31
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monterrey Monterrey 35 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 33 matches
Monterrey Statistic CF Pachuca
15 Wins 15
7 Draws 8
13 Losses 10
58 Goals For 46
51 Goals Against 37
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
18 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 25
19 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 10
5.31 Shots On Goal 4.55
13.94 Total Shots 14.27
4.37 Corners 4.64
56.2% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pachuca. Pachuca carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 28 points while Monterrey sit 13 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Monterrey have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Monterrey Analysis

Monterrey approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 15 points from 14 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Berterame (13 goals), S. Canales (13 goals), L. Ocampos (5 goals), with creative support from Óliver Torres (8 assists), S. Canales (6 assists), L. Ocampos (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

CF Pachuca Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 28 points from 14 games, Pachuca bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kenedy (7 goals), E. Valencia (5 goals), Oussama Idrissi (5 goals), with creative support from V. Guzman (7 assists), Brian García (4 assists), Oussama Idrissi (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 5 times, CF Pachuca won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:26 from Monterrey's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Monterrey 4-2-3-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Monterrey wins 5, draws 2, CF Pachuca wins 8

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs