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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
19.04.2026 04:00
Best Denki Stadium
Referee: R. Tanimoto
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Kashiwa Reysol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
32'
Tojiro Kubo
Kashiwa Reysol
🟥
33'
Tojiro Kubo
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
39'
H. Yamauchi ↔ Y. Yamanouchi
Kashiwa Reysol
🟨
45+1'
Danilo Cardoso
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
Danilo Cardoso ↔ T. Ushizawa
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
46'
S. Toshima ↔ Y. Konishi
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
46'
Y. Komi ↔ D. Sugioka
Kashiwa Reysol
⚽
60'
K. Tada · Assist: T. Mase
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
62'
S. Baba ↔ W. Harada
Kashiwa Reysol
⚽
65'
A. Watanabe · Assist: K. Tada
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
66'
Matheus Leiria ↔ H. Yamamoto
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
70'
M. Hosoya ↔ Y. Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🟨
75'
Kiichi Yamazaki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
75'
A. Watanabe ↔ K. Okuda
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
75'
T. Semba ↔ K. Yamazaki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
90+1'
T. Iida ↔ Y. Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 40.5%
Draw 23%
Kashiwa Reysol Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.2
Kashiwa Reysol1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
12 GF / 20 GA
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
8
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
6
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 11 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 11 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Kashiwa Reysol
1 Wins 4
6 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
12 Goals For 16
20 Goals Against 15
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
8 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.2
11.8 Total Shots 14.3
3.4 Corners 4.7
47% Ball Possession 58.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Kashiwa Reysol's more proactive style and Mito Hollyhock's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Kashiwa Reysol in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashiwa Reysol having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kashiwa Reysol.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

Mito Hollyhock are currently 7 in the standings with 12 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 13:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Kato (3 goals), A. Watanabe (2 goals), Y. Torikai (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tada (2 assists), C. Kato (1 assists), A. Watanabe (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

So far, Kashiwa Reysol have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Segawa (4 goals), H. Nakama (1 goals), H. Yamauchi (1 goals), with creative support from H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), Y. Koizumi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 2 times, Kashiwa Reysol won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 2, draws 1, Kashiwa Reysol wins 3

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)