Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Mirassol
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mirassol
20 matches
Fluminense
21 matches
| Mirassol | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 24 | Goals For | 31 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.45 | Shots On Goal | 5.9 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 15.48 |
| 5.65 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 52.3% | Ball Possession | 61.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fluminense's more proactive style and Mirassol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Fluminense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 30 points while Mirassol sit 19 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fluminense. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Mirassol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 13 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 17:23 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Formiga (3 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), Nathan Fogaça (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), C. Cuesta (1 assists), Carlos Eduardo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Fluminense come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 30 points after 16 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a 27:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on John Kennedy (8 goals), Agustín Canobbio (4 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (4 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol won 2 times, Fluminense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Mirassol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Mirassol
8
1
3
6
2
3
Lineups
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Coritiba
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Santos
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
Coritiba
Mirassol
Santos
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 |
Mirassol
Home
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|