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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
08.08.2026 18:45
Stade Saint Symphorien
Referee: Aurelien Petit, France
Metz
Match Timeline
Guingamp
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Jessy Deminguet
Metz
⚽
30'
Pape Moussa Fall
Metz
⚽
51'
A. Demouchy · Assist: A. Hemia
Guingamp
🟨
54'
Albin Demouchy
Guingamp
🔄
57'
F. Sanchez Da Silva ↔ T. Ducrocq
Guingamp
⚽
58'
P. M. Fall · Assist: M. Colin
Metz
⚽
60'
G. Abuashvili · Assist: J. Deminguet
Metz
🔄
65'
B. Munongo ↔ H. Kadamani
Metz
🔄
66'
A. Hemia ↔ J. Chamakh
Guingamp
🔄
66'
T. Ahile ↔ S. Ben Brahim
Guingamp
🔄
66'
J. Dianganga ↔ D. Gomis
Guingamp
🔄
74'
J. Matumona ↔ V. Muntu Wa Mungu
Guingamp
🔄
79'
N. Mbala ↔ N. Mendy
Metz
🔄
79'
P. M. Fall ↔ H. Diallo
Metz
🔄
82'
G. Abuashvili ↔ M. Bokele Mputu
Metz
🟨
90+2'
Idris Mohamed
Metz

Metz vs Guingamp Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Metz Win 88%
Draw 6%
Guingamp Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Metz2.27
Guingamp1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Metz Metz
WWDLW
24 GF / 12 GA
Guingamp Guingamp
WLDWL
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Metz Metz 9 matches
Guingamp Guingamp 6 matches
Metz Statistic Guingamp
5 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
24 Goals For 6
12 Goals Against 10
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 2
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Metz won 5 times, Guingamp won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Metz's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.23 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Metz 5-3-2 / Guingamp 4-4-2
H2H summary: Metz wins 5, draws 3, Guingamp wins 5

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 21:8 13 19
W D L W W
2 8 5 2 1 12:9 3 17
W W W W L
3 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
4 8 3 5 0 15:9 6 14
D D W D W
5 8 4 1 3 9:7 2 13
W W L L W
6 8 4 1 3 10:9 1 13
W L L W D
7 8 3 2 3 9:8 1 11
W W L D D
8 8 2 5 1 5:6 -1 11
D D W D D
9
Metz Home
7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D L W D D
10 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W W D L D
11 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L L W D L
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
D W L W D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
L D W L W
15 8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
16 8 0 6 2 4:6 -2 6
D L D D D
17 8 0 6 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D D D
18 8 1 2 5 10:17 -7 5
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3