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13.05.2026 14:00
Al Salam Stadium
Referee: E. S. Shaban
Masr
Match Timeline
Ghazl El Mehalla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Sameh Ibrahim
Masr
⚽
26'
Armoosha · Assist: M. Salah
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
34'
A. Atef · Assist: A. Bakri
Masr
VAR
45+4'
Ahmed Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
VAR
54'
Ahmed Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
55'
A. Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
59'
A. Atef · Assist: A. Emad
Masr
🟨
71'
Mohamed Ashraf
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
71'
A. Emad ↔ M. Yasser
Masr
🔄
72'
Y. Osama Nabih ↔ R. Khalil
Masr
🔄
75'
M. Salah ↔ A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
75'
M. Bolbol ↔ M. Toure
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
83'
Armoosha ↔ A. Ineza
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
86'
R. Arfaoui ↔ A. Magdy
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
86'
M. Ashraf ↔ M. Oufa
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
89'
S. Ibrahim ↔ A. Fathy
Masr
🔄
90+4'
A. Atef ↔ Messi
Masr
⚽
90'
R. Khalil
Masr

Masr vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
32.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Masr Win 71%
Draw 8.7%
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Masr0.97
Ghazl El Mehalla0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Masr Masr
WWDLW
33 GF / 26 GA
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.69
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
16
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
6
3.93
Shots on Goal
2.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Masr Masr 29 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 29 matches
Masr Statistic Ghazl El Mehalla
11 Wins 4
10 Draws 19
8 Losses 6
33 Goals For 20
26 Goals Against 21
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
16 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 16
6 Failed To Score 15
3.93 Shots On Goal 2.24
10.86 Total Shots 8.62
4.03 Corners 3.45
51.2% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Masr arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 43 points compared to Ghazl El Mehalla in 16 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Masr expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ghazl El Mehalla in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ghazl El Mehalla having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ghazl El Mehalla. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Masr Analysis

So far, Masr have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 43 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:10 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Mohsen (7 goals), O. El Saaiy (6 goals), M. Saber (5 goals), with creative support from M. Saber (6 assists), A. Deghmoum (4 assists), Ahmed Adel (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 31 points from 9 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 8:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Shousha (5 goals), M. Salah (4 goals), Abdelrahim Amoory (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), A. Shousha (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Masr won 3 times, Ghazl El Mehalla won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Masr's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Masr 4-3-3 / Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Masr wins 3, draws 1, Ghazl El Mehalla wins 1

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9
Masr Home
20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)