Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Manchester United Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester United1.81
Newcastle1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester United
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
19 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
8
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
9
6
Shots on Goal
3.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Manchester United
13 matches
Newcastle
12 matches
| Manchester United | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 24 | Goals For | 19 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 20.86 | Total Shots | 10.2 |
| 6.71 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 57.6% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester United won 7 times, Newcastle won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Manchester United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Manchester United 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Manchester United wins 7, draws 2, Newcastle wins 6
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Newcastle
Away
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Manchester United
Home
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship