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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
06.05.2026 13:00
Lugazi FC Stadium
Lugazi
Match Timeline
Mbarara City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
50'
C. Kamugisha
Mbarara City

Lugazi vs Mbarara City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
90.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lugazi Win 9.2%
Draw 40.6%
Mbarara City Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lugazi1.04
Mbarara City1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lugazi Lugazi
WWDLW
19 GF / 34 GA
Mbarara City Mbarara City
WLDWL
21 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
9
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lugazi Lugazi 26 matches
Mbarara City Mbarara City 26 matches
Lugazi Statistic Mbarara City
5 Wins 4
8 Draws 9
13 Losses 13
19 Goals For 21
34 Goals Against 39
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
9 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 5
15 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lugazi won 0 times, Mbarara City won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Lugazi's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (90.8%)
H2H summary: Lugazi wins 0, draws 2, Mbarara City wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League