Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
43.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Lorient Win 43.8%
Draw 14.8%
Estac Troyes Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lorient1.31
Estac Troyes1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lorient
WWDLW
12 GF / 8 GA
Estac Troyes
WLDWL
14 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lorient
7 matches
Estac Troyes
7 matches
| Lorient | Statistic | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 12 | Goals For | 14 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 40% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lorient won 6 times, Estac Troyes won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Lorient's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Lorient 3-4-2-1 / Estac Troyes 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lorient wins 6, draws 3, Estac Troyes wins 4
Last matches: Lorient
22.08.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
15.08.26
Fri
Lorient
SV Elversberg
1
4
L
08.08.26
Fri
Lorient
Angers
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Lorient
UNFP
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Guingamp
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Nantes
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Concarneau
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2
2
D
26.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Toulouse
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
1
D
04.03.26
Cou
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
3
D
Last matches: Estac Troyes
22.08.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Paris FC
0
0
D
14.08.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Panetolikos
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Auxerre
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Chasselay MDA
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Nancy
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Laval
4
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
3
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
1
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
2
2
D
21.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Dunkerque
5
1
W
16.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Amiens
2
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
4
3
W
16.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Bastia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Nancy
1
2
L
H2H: Lorient vs Estac Troyes
14.02.25
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
0
1
W
06.12.24
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
23.10.22
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
2
2
D
21.05.22
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
01.12.21
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
2
0
L
21.03.20
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
0
0
D
26.10.19
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0
1
L
19.04.19
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0
3
L
23.11.18
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
2
0
L
27.02.16
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
0
1
W
07.11.15
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
4
1
W
19.01.13
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
3
2
W
25.08.12
H2H
Estac Troyes
Lorient
2
2
D
Last matches: Lorient
04.08.26
Fri
Lorient
UNFP
5
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lorient
Nantes
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lorient
Le Havre
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Strasbourg
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Marseille
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lorient
Paris FC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Lens
2
1
W
04.03.26
Cou
Lorient
Nice
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Lorient
Angers
2
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lorient
Paris FC
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Nantes
2
1
W
04.01.26
Lig
Lorient
Metz
1
1
D
07.12.25
Lig
Lorient
Lyon
1
0
W
30.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Nice
3
1
W
09.11.25
Lig
Lorient
Toulouse
1
1
D
29.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
19.10.25
Lig
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
3
3
D
27.09.25
Lig
Lorient
Monaco
3
1
W
30.08.25
Lig
Lorient
Lille
1
7
L
H2H at home: Lorient
06.12.24
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
2
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
26.10.19
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0
1
L
19.04.19
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0
3
L
07.11.15
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
4
1
W
19.01.13
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
3
2
W
Last matches: Estac Troyes
08.08.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Auxerre
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Estac Troyes
Nancy
3
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Rodez
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Montpellier
2
2
D
16.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Annecy
2
1
W
02.03.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Amiens
2
0
W
16.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Bastia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Nancy
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lig
Estac Troyes
Guingamp
0
1
L
10.01.26
Cou
Estac Troyes
Bastia
2
0
W
20.12.25
Cou
Estac Troyes
Olympique Marcquois
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Boulogne
2
1
W
30.11.25
Cou
Estac Troyes
UF Touraine
2
0
W
21.11.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Laval
1
0
W
15.11.25
Cou
Estac Troyes
France Aizenay
3
0
W
03.11.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
PAU
1
1
D
24.10.25
Lig
Estac Troyes
Reims
0
0
D
H2H away: Estac Troyes
06.12.24
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
2
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
2
0
L
21.05.22
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
1
1
D
26.10.19
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0
1
W
19.04.19
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
0
3
W
07.11.15
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
4
1
L
19.01.13
H2H
Lorient
Estac Troyes
3
2
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 10 |
Lorient
Home
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 |
Estac Troyes
Away
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
Champions League league stage
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Relegation