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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
10.10.2026 11:30
Agrano Vachadze Stadium

Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Meshakhte Win 12.5%
Draw 29.3%
FC Iberia 1999 Win 58.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Meshakhte1
FC Iberia 19991.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Meshakhte Meshakhte
WWDLW
25 GF / 53 GA
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
WLDWL
52 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
17
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
20
2.11
Shots on Goal
3.51

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Meshakhte Meshakhte 31 matches
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 39 matches
Meshakhte Statistic FC Iberia 1999
3 Wins 17
11 Draws 9
17 Losses 13
25 Goals For 52
53 Goals Against 50
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
17 BTTS Yes 22
20 Over 1.5 31
14 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 9
2.11 Shots On Goal 3.51
2.74 Total Shots 3.66
3.33 Corners 3.91
42.8% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Iberia 1999's more proactive style and Meshakhte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Iberia 1999. FC Iberia 1999 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 46 points while Meshakhte sit 10 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Meshakhte expected to line up in 5-4-1 and FC Iberia 1999 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Iberia 1999 having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Meshakhte Analysis

Meshakhte sit 10 with 17 points after 27 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 20:44 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Iberia 1999 Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 46 points from 27 games, FC Iberia 1999 bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:30, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Meshakhte won 0 times, FC Iberia 1999 won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from Meshakhte's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Meshakhte 5-4-1 / FC Iberia 1999 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Meshakhte wins 0, draws 1, FC Iberia 1999 wins 3

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 13 9 5 45:30 15 48
W W W D D
2 27 13 8 6 46:36 10 47
W D W W W
3 27 13 7 7 32:23 9 46
L W D L D
4 27 14 4 9 38:30 8 46
L W W W L
5 27 12 4 11 38:30 8 40
W L D W W
6 27 9 9 9 43:34 9 36
L W D D L
7 27 9 5 13 38:52 -14 32
L L L L D
8 27 6 11 10 25:37 -12 29
D L D L W
9 27 5 10 12 34:43 -9 25
L L D D L
10 27 2 11 14 20:44 -24 17
D L D D W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2