BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Lokomotiv
Referee: V. Chinkov
Lokomotiv Sofia
Match Timeline
Beroe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
F. Alarcon
Beroe
🟨
27'
Facundo Constantini
Beroe
🔄
35'
S. Yovkov ↔ F. Varela
Beroe
🟨
43'
Facundo Alarcon
Beroe
51'
R. Bidounga
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
58'
Caue Caruzo Alves
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
63'
Adil Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
63'
Juanca Pineda
Beroe
🔄
72'
J. Ibe ↔ E. Gerov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
72'
K. Stanoev ↔ R. Daskalov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
73'
F. Alarcon ↔ S. Gavrilov
Beroe
🔄
85'
M. Borgnino ↔ Y. Valbuena
Beroe
🔄
86'
Caue Caruzo ↔ V. Velichkov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
86'
D. Ali ↔ M. Zakhariev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟥
90+2'
Bozhidar Katsarov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
90+2'
Ismael Ferrer
Beroe
🔄
90+3'
A. Taoui ↔ N. Neychev
Lokomotiv Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 51.7%
Draw 11%
Beroe Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lokomotiv Sofia1.4
Beroe0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WWDLW
48 GF / 44 GA
Beroe Beroe
WLDWL
27 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
20
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
17
3.06
Shots on Goal
2.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 34 matches
Beroe Beroe 34 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Statistic Beroe
10 Wins 7
13 Draws 12
11 Losses 15
48 Goals For 27
44 Goals Against 47
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
20 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 20
18 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 15
3.06 Shots On Goal 2.41
7.47 Total Shots 6.47
3.38 Corners 2.72
34.3% Ball Possession 29.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Lokomotiv Sofia's more proactive style and Beroe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Beroe. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv Sofia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beroe in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beroe having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

So far, Lokomotiv Sofia have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 43 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 48:44 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Delev (8 goals), Caue Caruzo (7 goals), A. Aralica (6 goals), with creative support from S. Delev (13 assists), Caue Caruzo (4 assists), Krasimir Stanoev (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Beroe Analysis

So far, Beroe have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 33 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, while the 27:47 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Ismael Ferrer (4 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia won 6 times, Beroe won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Lokomotiv Sofia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1 / Beroe 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Lokomotiv Sofia wins 6, draws 3, Beroe wins 3
Stats
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe Beroe
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 0
6 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 0
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
555 Total passes 284
457 Passes accurate 215
1.70 expected_goals 1.28
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
Formation
Beroe
M. Velichkov
M. Velichkov
D. Ali
D. Ali
B. Katsarov
B. Katsarov
R. Bidounga
R. Bidounga
A. Lyaskov
A. Lyaskov
K. Stanoev
K. Stanoev
E. Dost
E. Dost
Caue Caruzo
Caue Caruzo
A. Taoui
A. Taoui
S. Delev
S. Delev
J. Ibe
J. Ibe
Arthur
Arthur
S. Brunelli
S. Brunelli
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
S. Yovkov
S. Yovkov
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
T. Sonha
T. Sonha
M. Borgnino
M. Borgnino
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
F. Alarcon
F. Alarcon
Lokomotiv Sofia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
M. Velichkov
G
2
D. Ali
↓ 86'
D
44
B. Katsarov
🟥 90+2'
D
91
R. Bidounga
⚽ 51'
D
14
A. Lyaskov
D
31
K. Stanoev
↓ 72'
M
5
E. Dost
M
77
Caue Caruzo
↓ 86'
11
A. Taoui
↓ 90+3' 🟨 63'
M
7
S. Delev
M
33
J. Ibe
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
24
A. Lyubenov
G
45
E. Gerov
↑ 72'
M
26
K. Miloshev
M
42
N. Neychev
↑ 90+3'
D
22
R. Daskalov
↑ 72'
M
4
S. Dembele
8
Luann
M
88
V. Velichkov
↑ 86'
F
17
M. Zakhariev
↑ 86'
D
Beroe 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
30
S. Brunelli
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
16
S. Yovkov
↓ 35'
D
12
D. Valverde
M
11
I. Ferrer
🟨 90+2'
M
4
F. Costantini
🟨 27'
M
23
T. Sonha
M
8
M. Borgnino
↓ 85'
M
7
J. Pineda
🟨 63'
F
15
F. Alarcon
⚽ 16' ↓ 73' 🟨 43'
F
Substitutes
99
V. Quintero
G
5
Caio Lopes
M
9
Y. Valbuena
↑ 85'
M
17
W. Dual
18
S. Rusenov
M
22
M. Georgiev
F
24
S. Gavrilov
↑ 73'
M
25
Johny
32
F. Varela
↑ 35'
D
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
26.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Drita
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Montana
2
2
D
05.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
01.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
3
L
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
03.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
3
L
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
08.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Sportist Svoge
1
0
W
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
H2H: Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe
14.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
09.04.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
03.11.25
H2H
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
W
30.11.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
29.07.24
H2H
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
21.05.24
H2H
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
W
09.04.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
06.10.23
H2H
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
1
W
13.11.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
2
L
23.07.22
H2H
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
05.11.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
0
3
L
23.07.21
H2H
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
0
L
Last matches: Lokomotiv Sofia
26.06.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Drita
2
1
W
18.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
27.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
09.04.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
17.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
13.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
05.03.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Dobrudzha
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Ludogorets
1
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Sportist Svoge
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
21.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Podbrezová
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Lokomotiv Sofia
Radnik Surdulica
0
2
L
06.12.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
28.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
08.11.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
1
L
24.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
2
D
19.10.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
27.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
14.09.25
Fir
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
H2H at home: Lokomotiv Sofia
14.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
09.04.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
30.11.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
W
09.04.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
13.11.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
2
L
05.11.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
0
3
L
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
08.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
26.10.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
1
5
L
04.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
21.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
31.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
11.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
W
04.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
0
4
L
21.07.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
H2H away: Beroe
14.05.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
1
D
09.04.26
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
L
30.11.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
2
1
L
09.04.24
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
0
L
13.11.22
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
1
2
W
05.11.21
H2H
Lokomotiv Sofia
Beroe
0
3
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Away
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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