Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
78%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
80.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
87.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
31 matches
Arda Kardzhali
38 matches
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Statistic | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 14 |
| 13 | Draws | 11 |
| 6 | Losses | 13 |
| 32 | Goals For | 39 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 2.96 | Shots On Goal | 3.09 |
| 7.89 | Total Shots | 7.77 |
| 2.68 | Corners | 2.89 |
| 33.8% | Ball Possession | 37.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Arda Kardzhali's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Arda Kardzhali in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arda Kardzhali having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arda Kardzhali. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 49 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 32:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Perea (7 goals), J. Zwarts (5 goals), Lucas Ryan (4 goals), with creative support from Cătălin Itu (6 assists), Parvizdzhon Umarbaev (5 assists), J. Lamy (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 32 matches, Arda Kardzhali have collected 45 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 33:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Karagaren (7 goals), A. Vutov (4 goals), Dimitar Velkovski (3 goals), with creative support from Svetoslav Kovachev (4 assists), L. Kotev (4 assists), B. Karagaren (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 times, Arda Kardzhali won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Home
|
36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 36:41 | -5 | 55 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 6 |
Arda Kardzhali
Away
|
36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 42:34 | 8 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 7 | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49:45 | 4 | 46 |
L
W
L
L
L
|