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10.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Referee: Derlis Benitez, Paraguay
Libertad Asuncion
Match Timeline
Sportivo Trinidense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Ivan Ramirez · Assist: Alan Benítez
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
28'
Agustín da Silveira
Sportivo Trinidense
⚽
40'
Luis de la Cruz · Assist: Gustavo Viera
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
46'
Junior Gamarra ↔ Alan Tobías Morinigo
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
62'
Iván Franco ↔ Rodrigo Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
62'
Nelson Gauto ↔ Luis Abreu
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
62'
Luis de la Cruz ↔ Jorge Marcelino
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
68'
Fabricio Baruja
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
70'
Agustín Manzur
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
71'
Ivan Ramirez ↔ Marcelo Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
71'
Agustín Manzur ↔ Alexis Fretes
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
74'
Clementino González ↔ Oscar Gimenez
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
74'
Fabricio Baruja ↔ Nicolás Maná
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
78'
Néstor Giménez
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
82'
Oscar Gimenez
Sportivo Trinidense
⚽
87'
Alan Benítez
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
87'
Elvio Vera ↔ Gustavo Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
88'
Alan Benítez
Libertad Asuncion
🟥
90+7'
Oscar Gimenez
Sportivo Trinidense

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Libertad Asuncion Win 37.2%
Draw 16.8%
Sportivo Trinidense Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Libertad Asuncion1.27
Sportivo Trinidense1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WWDLW
44 GF / 42 GA
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
14
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
14
4.29
Shots on Goal
4.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 31 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 25 matches
Libertad Asuncion Statistic Sportivo Trinidense
11 Wins 11
4 Draws 8
16 Losses 6
44 Goals For 39
42 Goals Against 26
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
14 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 3
4.29 Shots On Goal 4.12
12.48 Total Shots 11
4.45 Corners 3.88
50.9% Ball Possession 38.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 5 times, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Libertad Asuncion's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Libertad Asuncion 4-2-3-1 / Sportivo Trinidense 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Libertad Asuncion wins 5, draws 7, Sportivo Trinidense wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 14 7 3 4 24:14 10 24
D W W L W
5 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 14 0 4 10 5:23 -18 4
D D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)