ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds 2.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.6%
2.60
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.90
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Leiknir R. Win 65.6%
Draw 6.8%
IR Reykjavik Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leiknir R.1.73
IR Reykjavik1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leiknir R. Leiknir R.
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik
WLDWL
22 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.7
4
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leiknir R. Leiknir R. 11 matches
IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 10 matches
Leiknir R. Statistic IR Reykjavik
4 Wins 3
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 5
12 Goals For 22
11 Goals Against 27
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.7
4 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Leiknir R.'s more proactive style and IR Reykjavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IR Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Leiknir R. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 15 points compared to IR Reykjavik in 9 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IR Reykjavik. IR Reykjavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Leiknir R. Analysis

Leiknir R. approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 15 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 12:10 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Gunnarsson (4 goals), S. Veseli (3 goals), B. Burknason (2 goals), with creative support from K. S. Hlifarsson (2 assists), R. Gunnarsson (2 assists), D. Gunnarsson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

IR Reykjavik Analysis

With 10 points from 9 games and a place of 9, IR Reykjavik still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 18:23, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Sigurhjartarson (4 goals), O. Bjarkason (3 goals), S. Palsson (3 goals), with creative support from S. Palsson (3 assists), B. Helgason (3 assists), E. Sigurhjartarson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Leiknir R. won 5 times, IR Reykjavik won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Leiknir R.'s perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Leiknir R. wins 5, draws 3, IR Reykjavik wins 4
Last matches: Leiknir R.
19.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Njardvik
0
1
L
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
05.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Ægir
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Fylkir
0
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
18.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Throttur Reykjavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grotta
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Völsungur
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Leiknir R.
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
Last matches: IR Reykjavik
21.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Völsungur
4
4
D
17.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Grotta
2
1
W
05.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Njardvik
1
5
L
31.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Vestri
0
1
L
27.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Ægir
1
4
L
22.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
3
1
W
18.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Fylkir
1
2
L
08.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
2
D
01.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
7
4
W
H2H: Leiknir R. vs IR Reykjavik
24.01.26
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
1
1
D
13.06.25
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
0
L
09.01.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
25.07.24
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
17.01.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
3
5
L
19.01.21
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
0
1
W
09.08.18
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
0
L
24.05.18
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
3
1
W
07.09.17
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
4
0
W
29.06.17
H2H
IR Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
Last matches: Leiknir R.
13.06.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Vestri
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
HK Kopavogur
4
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Grindavik
0
0
D
08.05.26
1.
Leiknir R.
Afturelding
0
3
L
H2H at home: Leiknir R.
23.08.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
1
1
D
09.01.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
W
18.05.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
1
0
W
17.01.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
3
5
L
24.05.18
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
3
1
W
07.09.17
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
4
0
W
Last matches: IR Reykjavik
05.06.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Njardvik
1
5
L
27.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Ægir
1
4
L
18.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Fylkir
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
IR Reykjavik
Afturelding
7
4
W
H2H away: IR Reykjavik
23.08.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
1
1
D
09.01.25
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
2
1
L
18.05.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
1
0
L
17.01.24
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
3
5
W
24.05.18
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
3
1
L
07.09.17
H2H
Leiknir R.
IR Reykjavik
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.29
Draw 3.70
Home 2.60
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.18
Draw 3.65
Home 2.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.63
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 3.00
Home 2.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 3.5 1.82
Over 4.5 2.80
Over 5.5 4.70
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.95
Under 3.5 1.82
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 5.5 1.13

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 24:11 13 22
W W W W L
2 10 7 0 3 19:13 6 21
W W L L W
3 11 6 1 4 21:19 2 19
W W L W W
4 9 5 1 3 23:17 6 16
L L W W W
5 10 5 1 4 18:18 0 16
D L W L W
6 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W W W L
7 10 4 2 4 13:9 4 14
W L W L W
8 9 4 0 5 17:22 -5 12
L L W W W
9 10 3 2 5 22:27 -5 11
D W L L L
10 9 1 5 3 9:12 -3 8
D L L L D
11 10 2 1 7 12:20 -8 7
L L L W W
12 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D W L L L
Promotion
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Relegation