Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Legia Warszawa
47 matches
Motor Lublin
33 matches
| Legia Warszawa | Statistic | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 10 |
| 15 | Draws | 13 |
| 14 | Losses | 10 |
| 60 | Goals For | 46 |
| 57 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.72 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 12.64 | Total Shots | 11.64 |
| 4.81 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Legia Warszawa's more proactive style and Motor Lublin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Motor Lublin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Legia Warszawa expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Motor Lublin in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Motor Lublin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Legia Warszawa come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
From their first 33 matches, Legia Warszawa have collected 46 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, while the 38:37 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Rajovic (6 goals), R. Adamski (4 goals), Antonio Čolak (3 goals), with creative support from Bartosz Kapustka (2 assists), Ermal Krasniqi (2 assists), J. Elitim (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 43 points from 33 games and a place of 11, Motor Lublin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 46:49, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Czubak (19 goals), M. Ndiaye (8 goals), B. Wolski (5 goals), with creative support from B. Wolski (7 assists), I. Rodrigues (4 assists), B. van Hoeven (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Legia Warszawa won 4 times, Motor Lublin won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Legia Warszawa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Legia Warszawa
Home
|
34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Motor Lublin
Away
|
34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|